Gil Vicente vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos).

Liga Portugal - Round 30
Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.82
Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	3
Passes
77% (289/376)	76% (268/352)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.22	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.96	1.09
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
16	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
16	11
Passes
77% (289/376)	76% (268/352)
Long passes
48% (31/64)	38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
55% (46/83)	53% (47/88)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.39
Throw ins
21	26
Fouls
11	16
Tackles
44% (4/9)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
58	61
Clearances
22	22
Interceptions
11	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.09	0.96
Goals prevented
0.09	0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
64', Sousa D. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
64', Nogueira M. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Nogueira G. (A),
73', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
73', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
74', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
79', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
79', Garcia S. ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
81', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
83', Charles Silva 🟨,
83', Konan G. 🟨,
84', Samu ↓, Abascal R. ↑,
84', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
90+6', Ze Carlos 🟨,

Chances of winning

Gil Vicente
46.8%

Draw
28.6%

Vitoria Guimarães
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	3.83 ↑ (3.4)	5.6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Gil Vicente will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Injury) Elimbi M. (Injury) Hernandez H. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Guimarães: Ndoye A. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Gil Vicente?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:

08.12.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 0:0

11.04.2025 Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1

02.12.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 4:0

08.02.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente 3:1

28.01.2024 Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0

Latest results of Gil Vicente

13.04.2026 Tondela - Gil Vicente 2:2 ✺

03.04.2026 Gil Vicente - AVS 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Santa Clara - Gil Vicente 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Gil Vicente - Alverca 2:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

11.04.2026 AVS - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela 5:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão 1:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	31	26	4	1	63:15	48	82
2	Benfica	31	22	9	0	67:20	47	75
3	Sporting CP	31	22	7	2	77:22	55	73
4	Braga	31	16	8	7	59:31	28	56
5	Famalicao	31	14	9	8	39:27	12	51
6	Gil Vicente	31	13	10	8	46:32	14	49
7	Vitoria Guimaraes	31	12	6	13	38:43	-5	42
8	Moreirense	31	11	6	14	34:45	-11	39
9	Alverca	31	10	8	13	34:49	-15	38
10	Estoril	31	10	7	14	51:52	-1	37
11	Arouca	31	10	5	16	39:60	-21	35
12	Rio Ave	31	8	10	13	33:52	-19	34
13	Santa Clara	31	8	8	15	28:38	-10	32
14	Nacional	31	8	7	16	34:41	-7	31
15	Estrela	31	6	10	15	34:51	-17	28
16	Casa Pia	31	5	11	15	29:55	-26	26
17	Tondela	31	4	10	17	23:52	-29	22
18	AFS ✔	31	1	11	19	22:65	-43	14

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

Clinched Spots for Teams

AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2