St Kilda Saints vs Gold Coast Suns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/05/2025 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 11

Match Stats


Goals
8	12
Behinds
13	8
Kicks
223	208
Handballs
165	154
Disposals
388	362
Frees For
20	11
Frees Against
11	20
Clearances Completed
37	40
Marks
101	95
Tackles
73	70
Hitouts
32	52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 26)
01:04, Clohesy S. (G),
02:51, Long B. (G),
06:20, Owens M. (G),
10:28, Owens M. (Behind),
20:48, Jeffrey J. (Behind),
22:05, (Behind Rushed),
22:56, Holman N. (G),
27:20, Ainsworth B. (G),
29:56, Clohesy S. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (20 - 31)
00:49, Sharman C. (Behind),
02:30, Sharman C. (Behind),
07:05, Sharman C. (G),
08:53, Long B. (G),
11:37, Walter J. (G),
15:23, Wanganeen-Milera N. (G),
16:48, Sharman C. (G),
18:44, (Behind Rushed),
19:46, Ainsworth B. (G),
21:36, Long B. (G),
26:05, Miller T. (G),
3rd Quarter (12 - 2)
03:44, Wood M. (Behind),
05:14, Steele J. (G),
08:49, Sharman C. (Behind),
12:51, Walter J. (Behind),
13:35, Hill B. (Behind),
14:50, Wanganeen-Milera N. (Behind),
18:59, Humphrey B. (Behind),
20:35, Phillipou M. (Behind),
23:37, Owens M. (Behind),
4th Quarter (21 - 21)
01:47, Sharman C. (G),
05:49, King B. (G),
10:55, Jeffrey J. (Behind),
13:12, King B. (Behind),
14:42, Jeffrey J. (G),
18:37, (Behind Rushed),
21:10, King B. (G),
22:49, Wood M. (Behind),
26:22, Sinclair J. (G),
28:36, Owens M. (G),
30:46, Clark H. (Behind),
32:46, Higgins J. (Behind),

Chances of winning

St Kilda Saints
36.9%

Gold Coast Suns
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Kilda Saints's form might have worsened.

Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gold Coast Suns's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Kilda Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)		1.48 ↓ (1.69)	7.5% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 4.
St Kilda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gold Coast's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gold Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Gold Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1308:1270. (average 72.7:70.6).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 643:520. (average 80.4:65).

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Gold Coast Suns?

St Kilda Saints has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gold Coast Suns won against St Kilda Saints?

Gold Coast Suns has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:

08.06.2024 St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns 51:48

15.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - St Kilda Saints 77:51

08.04.2023 St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns 113:60

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

18.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - St Kilda Saints 108:80 ✺

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77 ✺

02.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Fremantle Dockers 94:33 ✺

25.04.2025 St Kilda Saints - Brisbane Lions 73:118 ✺

20.04.2025 Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints 127:56 ✺

Latest results of Gold Coast Suns

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49 ✺

26.04.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Sydney Swans 117:79 ✺

19.04.2025 Richmond Tigers - Gold Coast Suns 80:69 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
5	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
6	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
7	Western Bulldogs	15	9	0	6	1582:1203	131.50	36
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	15	4	1	10	1152:1467	78.53	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of St Kilda Saints - Gold Coast Suns?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
Germany	Sportdigital+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 10