Minnesota United 2 vs St. Louis City 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
02/05/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.520.98
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
811
Passes
73% (202/276)81% (386/475)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.520.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.53
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
811
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
1313
Passes
73% (202/276)81% (386/475)
Long passes
42% (23/55)56% (30/54)
Passes in final third
59% (48/81)66% (87/131)
Crosses
30% (7/23)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.92
Throw ins
2219
Fouls
1313
Tackles
50% (5/10)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4049
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
1811
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.530.96
Goals prevented
0.530.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Glover C. , Carlock E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', De Gannes A. , Barclay J. ,
  • 50', Bernard J. 🟨,
  • 60', Michel K. , Saidi I. ,
  • 60', Bernard J. , Kabia A. ,
  • 65', Friedman J. , Harwood M. ,
  • 66', Carlock E. , Cornelius L. ,
  • 69', Dang N. 🟨,
  • 78', McDonald P. , Ota Y. ,
  • 79', Jundt A. , Gbadehan A. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Caldeira M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Ault P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Farris J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Barclay J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Vigilante S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Pearson C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Tarnue P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Lillington Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Randell D. (Penalty Awarded),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Minnesota United 2
35.2%
Draw
25.2%
St. Louis City 2
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 26% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.8% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.75)
    3.62
    (3.45)
    2.3
    (2.17)
    9.6%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 1.
    • Minnesota 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St. Louis City 2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of away games.
    • St. Louis City 2 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 were as follows:
    08.03.2026 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 3:0
    26.10.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 0:2
    12.09.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1
    27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0
    18.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3
    Latest results of St. Louis City 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    2Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    3Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    4Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    5New England Revolution II722127:611
    6Connecticut FC8210510:158
    7Cincinnati 2720059:116
    8New York City II611134:106


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2Atlanta United 28501214:916
    3Orlando City B8231217:1913
    4Huntsville7311214:1612
    5Chattanooga8301413:1410
    6Chicago Fire II713126:910
    7Carolina Core8013410:165
    8Inter Miami II801259:214


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County9321314:1314
    2San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    3Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    4Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    5Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    7Tacoma Defiance9121510:158


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Austin FC II7312110:813
    5North Texas9221413:1411
    6Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    7Colorado Rapids 2800359:193


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy9621027:1023
    2New York Red Bulls II8602020:820
    3Columbus Crew 29510316:1517
    4Atlanta United 28501214:916
    5Philadelphia Union II8410311:814
    6Orlando City B8231217:1913
    7Huntsville7311214:1612
    8Toronto FC II8302313:1311
    9New England Revolution II722127:611
    10Chattanooga8301413:1410
    11Chicago Fire II713126:910
    12Connecticut FC8210510:158
    13Cincinnati 2720059:116
    14New York City II611134:106
    15Carolina Core8013410:165
    16Inter Miami II801259:214


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 28710020:323
    2St. Louis City 29621020:823
    3Minnesota 2841039:914
    4Ventura County9321314:1314
    5San Jose Earthquakes II7401214:713
    6Austin FC II7312110:813
    7Portland Timbers 2731218:813
    8Los Angeles FC 29312315:1913
    9North Texas9221413:1411
    10Real Monarchs7220312:1210
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 29211514:189
    12Tacoma Defiance9121510:158
    13Sporting Kansas City II10112611:267
    14Colorado Rapids 2800359:193

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)