St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.58
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Long passes
54% (26/48)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)76% (161/212)
Crosses
6% (1/17)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.262.56
Throw-ins
119
Fouls
1712
Tackles
89% (8/9)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.581.69
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pompeu C. ,
  • 31', Voloder R. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Teuchert C. , Ostrak T. (A), Pompeu C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Salloi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Davis J. , Radoja N. ,
  • 46', Thommy E. , Suleymanov S. ,
  • 50', Bassong Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Radoja N. , Leibold T. ,
  • 60', Teuchert C. , Silva X. ,
  • 60', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Leibold T. , Salloi D. (A),
  • 77', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Joveljic D. ,
  • 78', Watts A. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 78', Baumgartl T. , Kessler H. ,
  • 82', Ostrak T. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 85', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Joveljic D. , Toye M. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
48.1%
Draw
25.1%
Sporting Kansas City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.41)
    3.79
    (3.56)
    3.56
    (2.8)
    4.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - St. Louis City (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Kansas City (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Louis City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Kansas City (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Ndenbe L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:0
    28.09.2024 St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City 3:1
    20.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 1:1
    20.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 3:3
    05.11.2023 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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