St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City
Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.58
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Long passes
54% (26/48)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)76% (161/212)
Crosses
6% (1/17)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.262.56
Throw-ins
119
Fouls
1712
Tackles
89% (8/9)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.581.69
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pompeu C. ⚽,
  • 31', Voloder R. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Teuchert C. ⚽, Ostrak T. (A), Pompeu C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Salloi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Davis J. ↓, Radoja N. ↑,
  • 46', Thommy E. ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
  • 50', Bassong Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Radoja N. ↓, Leibold T. ↑,
  • 60', Teuchert C. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
  • 60', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Leibold T. ⚽, Salloi D. (A),
  • 77', Brody A. ↓, Shelton K. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Joveljic D. ⚽,
  • 78', Watts A. ↓, Zalinsky J. ↑,
  • 78', Baumgartl T. ↓, Kessler H. ↑,
  • 82', Ostrak T. ↓, Girdwood-Reich J. ↑,
  • 85', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Joveljic D. ↓, Toye M. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
48.1%		Draw
25.1%		Sporting Kansas City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
    •

    St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↓
    (2.41)    		 3.79 ↑
    (3.56)    		 3.56 ↑
    (2.8)    		 4.8%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Ndenbe L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:0
    28.09.2024 St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City 3:1
    20.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 1:1
    20.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 3:3
    05.11.2023 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    10.05.2025 St. Louis City - San Diego 1:2 ✺
    07.05.2025 St. Louis City - Union Omaha 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City 4:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Los Angeles - St. Louis City 2:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Kansas City
    10.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Cincinnati - Sporting Kansas City 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City 3:5 ✺
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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