St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/05/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.58
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
1014
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
84% (309/368)85% (389/460)
Long passes
54% (26/48)49% (23/47)
Passes in final third
55% (35/64)76% (161/212)
Crosses
6% (1/17)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.262.56
Throw-ins
119
Fouls
1712
Tackles
89% (8/9)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3846
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.581.69
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pompeu C. ,
  • 31', Voloder R. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Teuchert C. , Ostrak T. (A), Pompeu C. (A2)
  • 45+2', Salloi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Davis J. , Radoja N. ,
  • 46', Thommy E. , Suleymanov S. ,
  • 50', Bassong Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Radoja N. , Leibold T. ,
  • 60', Teuchert C. , Silva X. ,
  • 60', Joao Klauss , Becher S. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Leibold T. , Salloi D. (A),
  • 77', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Joveljic D. ,
  • 78', Watts A. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 78', Baumgartl T. , Kessler H. ,
  • 82', Ostrak T. , Girdwood-Reich J. ,
  • 85', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Joveljic D. , Toye M. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
48.1%
Draw
25.1%
Sporting Kansas City
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 29% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.41)
    3.79
    (3.56)
    3.56
    (2.8)
    4.8%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - St. Louis City (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Kansas City (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: St. Louis City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Louis City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Kansas City (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • St. Louis City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Kansas City: Ndenbe L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:0
    28.09.2024 St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City 3:1
    20.07.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 1:1
    20.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 3:3
    05.11.2023 Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

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