Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 6
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 79% (291/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 79% (291/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (95/149) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Phillips K. ⚽, Mandron M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Donnelly L. 🟨,
- 68', Donnelly L. ↓, Taylor F. ↑,
- 70', Westley J. 🟨,
- 75', Hay A. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 75', Ayunga J. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 75', Idowu R. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 77', Graham L. 🟨,
- 83', Wright D. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 83', Graham L. ↓, Koumetio B. ↑,
- 84', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 86', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 89', Robertson C. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 90+2', King R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
59.3% | Draw
23.3% | Dundee
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
St. Mirren - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.64) |
4.05 ↑
(3.98) |
5.42 ↑
(4.73) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Dundee will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- St. Mirren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Dundee has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- St. Mirren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, St. Mirren is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Dundee: Digby P.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Fraser M.
(Injury)
- We predict that St. Mirren will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Dundee?
St. Mirren has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against St. Mirren?
Dundee has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Dundee were as follows:
05.04.2025
Dundee
-
St. Mirren
2:0
29.12.2024
St. Mirren
-
Dundee
1:2
31.08.2024
Dundee
-
St. Mirren
2:2
04.05.2024
Dundee
-
St. Mirren
1:3
07.02.2024
St. Mirren
-
Dundee
2:0
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
