St. Mirren vs Hibernian: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The SMISA Stadium (Paisley).

: Premiership - Championship Group - Round 37
Referee: Graham C. (Sco)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.30
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
68% (221/323)	73% (226/309)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	1.10
Total shots
11	9
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
34	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
7	3
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
68% (221/323)	73% (226/309)
Long passes
42% (33/78)	25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
58% (88/152)	54% (47/87)
Crosses
16% (5/32)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.15
Throw-ins
27	16
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
71% (10/14)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
49	50
Clearances
37	70
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.10	1.02
Goals prevented
-0.90	-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Boyle M. ⚽, Hoilett J. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Kukharevych M. ⚽, Hoilett J. (A),
23', Obita J. 🟨,
36', John D. 🟨,
38', Triantis N. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 2, Taylor R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ayunga J. 🟨,
60', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
61', Ayunga J. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
61', Boyd-Munce C. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
61', Kukharevych M. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, McMenamin C. ⚽, Idowu R. (A),
76', Obita J. ↓, Cadden N. ↑,
76', Hoilett J. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
78', Fraser M. 🟨,
79', Bowie K. 🟨,
82', Idowu R. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
84', Cadden Ch. ↓, O'Hora W. ↑,
84', Boyle M. ↓, Gayle D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St. Mirren
37.2%

Draw
29%

Hibernian
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

29.5%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Mirren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hibernian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Mirren - Hibernian Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.94)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)	2.8 ↑ (2.47)	5.7% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Hibernian?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Hibernian will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 11.9% – 76.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Hibernian (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 3.
St. Mirren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hibernian has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Hibernian: Kwon Hyeok-Kyu (Ankle Injury) Newell J. (Injury)
There are questionable in St. Mirren: Idowu R. (Injury) Taylor R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hibernian?

St. Mirren has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against St. Mirren?

Hibernian has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Hibernian were as follows:

16.02.2025 St. Mirren - Hibernian 0:0

09.11.2024 Hibernian - St. Mirren 1:2

04.08.2024 St. Mirren - Hibernian 3:0

03.02.2024 Hibernian - St. Mirren 0:3

08.11.2023 St. Mirren - Hibernian 2:2

Latest results of St. Mirren

10.05.2025 Dundee United - St. Mirren 0:2 ✺

03.05.2025 St. Mirren - Aberdeen 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 St. Mirren - Glasgow Rangers 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 St. Mirren - Ross County 3:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Dundee - St. Mirren 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Hibernian

10.05.2025 Celtic - Hibernian 3:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Hibernian - Dundee United 3:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Aberdeen - Hibernian 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Hibernian - Dundee 4:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Glasgow Rangers - Hibernian 0:2 ✺

Scottish Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dundee Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Falkirk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Hearts	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Hibernian	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Kilmarnock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Motherwell	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	St. Mirren	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dundee FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Livingston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Celtic	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Aberdeen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of St. Mirren - Hibernian?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Hibs TV, St Mirren TV