Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 79% (269/339) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/411) | 79% (269/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (70/110) | 68% (82/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Phillips K. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, Freckleton M. ⚽, John D. (A),
- 64', Boyle M. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
- 64', Cadden Ch. ↓, Mulligan J. ↑,
- 64', Hoilett J. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Bushiri R. ⚽,
- 81', Ayunga J. ↓, Mooney E. ↑,
- 82', Iredale J. ↓, Obita J. ↑,
- 90+3', Gogic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hibernian
48.1% | Draw
27.4% | St. Mirren
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hibernian's form might have worsened.St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hibernian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Mirren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hibernian - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.73) |
3.42 ↓
(3.75) |
3.84 ↓
(4.39) |
6.1%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hibernian - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, St. Mirren has had a series of home games.
- Hibernian is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Newell J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Donnelly L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: McMenamin C.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against St. Mirren?
Hibernian has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hibernian?
St. Mirren has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - St. Mirren were as follows:
14.05.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
2:2
16.02.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
0:0
09.11.2024
Hibernian
-
St. Mirren
1:2
04.08.2024
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
3:0
03.02.2024
Hibernian
-
St. Mirren
0:3
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Hearts | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rangers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Livingston | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
