Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 27
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (439/523) | 75% (270/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (439/523) | 75% (270/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/65) | 45% (34/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (104/142) | 59% (75/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', McMenamin C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Elding O. ⚽, Barlaser D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', John D. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 46', Devaney J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 58', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Calvin J. ↑,
- 58', Fraser M. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
- 62', King R. 🟨,
- 64', Elding O. ↓, Boyle M. ↑,
- 64', Scarlett D. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Suto A. ⚽,
- 71', McMenamin C. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 77', Chaiwa M. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
- 79', Mandron M. 🟨,
- 89', McGrath J. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hibernian
49.4% | Draw
26.7% | St. Mirren
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Hibernian - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.9) |
3.54 ↑
(3.43) |
3.97 ↑
(3.78) |
5.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hibernian - St. Mirren?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hibernian will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 1.
- Hibernian is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Mirren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hibernian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hibernian is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Hanley G.
(Injury)
Mulligan J.
(Injury)
Obita J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dijksteel M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Tendon Injury)
O'Hara M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against St. Mirren?
Hibernian has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Hibernian?
St. Mirren has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - St. Mirren were as follows:
08.11.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
0:3
31.08.2025
Hibernian
-
St. Mirren
1:1
14.05.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
2:2
16.02.2025
St. Mirren
-
Hibernian
0:0
09.11.2024
Hibernian
-
St. Mirren
1:2
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
