Result
1:1
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 11
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/469) | 72% (261/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/469) | 72% (261/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 49% (38/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/127) | 58% (75/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 86% (18/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Richardson J. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 46', Montano C. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 46', Arfield S. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
- 53', King R. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Muirhead R. ⚽, Brenet J. (A),
- 63', Mandron M. ↓, Young J. ↑,
- 63', Idowu R. ↓, Mooney E. ↑,
- 64', McMenamin C. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 67', Tait M. 🟨,
- 72', Fraser M. 🟨,
- 76', Smith L. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
- 79', John D. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
- 81', McLennan C. 🟨,
- 82', Muirhead R. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
- 83', McLennan C. ↓, Kabongolo B. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 1, Gogic A. ⚽, Tanser S. (A),
- 90+4', Susoho M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Phillips K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livingston
32.3% | Draw
30.2% | St. Mirren
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Livingston - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.71) |
3.08 ↓
(3.32) |
2.49 ↓
(2.57) |
7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Livingston - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 3 - 30%). St. Mirren will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 3 - 60%). St. Mirren (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Livingston (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - St. Mirren (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - St. Mirren (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 4 - 44.4%). St. Mirren (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 1.
- Livingston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, St. Mirren has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Inactive)
Baccus K.
(Inactive)
O'Hara M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against St. Mirren?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Livingston?
St. Mirren has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - St. Mirren were as follows:
17.01.2026
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:2
20.12.2025
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
1:0
17.02.2024
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:0
25.11.2023
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
1:0
02.09.2023
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:1
Latest results of Livingston
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 19 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22:42 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
