Result
1:0
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 18
- Referee: Graham C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (375/484) | 72% (258/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (375/484) | 72% (258/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (39/78) | 49% (41/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (131/195) | 55% (65/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', Idowu R. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 67', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 68', Bokila J. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
- 68', May S. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Mandron M. ⚽, John D. (A),
- 75', Finlayson D. 🟨,
- 77', Yengi T. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
- 78', Montano C. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
- 83', Tait M. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 83', McMenamin C. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
- 83', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
51.1% | Draw
27.2% | Livingston
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Mirren - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.79) |
3.5 ↓
(3.54) |
4.31 ↓
(4.32) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Livingston?
Users Predictions:
St. Mirren will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Mirren will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- In recent matches, St. Mirren has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Livingston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, St. Mirren is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Muscle Injury)
McGowan R.
(Red Card)
McLennan C.
(Concussion)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Livingston?
St. Mirren has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against St. Mirren?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Livingston were as follows:
17.02.2024
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:0
25.11.2023
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
1:0
02.09.2023
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:1
01.04.2023
St. Mirren
-
Livingston
3:0
28.12.2022
Livingston
-
St. Mirren
1:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 38:17 | 21 | 41 |
| 2 | Celtic | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 38 |
| 3 | Rangers | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 33 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 31 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 28:29 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:23 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 24 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 13 |
| 12 | Livingston | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
