Result
0:5
21/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: Scott C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Thailand | SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 United-kingdom | Motherwell TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, St Mirren TV |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (225/287) | 92% (649/703) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (225/287) | 92% (649/703) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 70% (35/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 83% (167/201) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 100% (5/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.51 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Just E. ⚽, Slattery C. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Maswanhise T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', Gogic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', McMenamin C. ↓, Fraser M. ↑,
- 46', Idowu R. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 46', Devaney J. ↓, Baccus K. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Said I. ⚽, Slattery C. (A),
- 52', King R. 🟥,
- 58', 0 - 4, Longelo E. ⚽, Slattery C. (A),
- 61', Young J. ↓, Calvin J. ↑,
- 62', Just E. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
- 62', McGinn P. ↓, Bjorgolfsson E. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 5, Bjorgolfsson E. ⚽, Sparrow T. (A),
- 77', Said I. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
- 77', Watt E. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 77', Longelo E. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 78', O'Hara M. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
- 87', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baccus K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
29.8% | Draw
29% | Motherwell
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Motherwell have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
St. Mirren - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(3.12) |
3.27 ↑
(3.22) |
2.3 ↑
(2.26) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Motherwell will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 1.
- In recent matches, St. Mirren has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motherwell is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Tendon Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Hendry C.
(Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Motherwell?
St. Mirren has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against St. Mirren?
Motherwell has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Motherwell were as follows:
03.01.2026
Motherwell
-
St. Mirren
2:0
01.11.2025
Motherwell
-
St. Mirren
1:4
09.08.2025
St. Mirren
-
Motherwell
0:0
15.03.2025
Motherwell
-
St. Mirren
2:2
07.12.2024
St. Mirren
-
Motherwell
0:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
