Result
0:3
06/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1 |
Greece | Nova Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Eleven Sports |
Serbia | SportKlub |
Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
Chances of winning
Darmstadt 47.1% | Draw 26.4% | St. Pauli 26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Darmstadt - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.13) |
3.59 ↑ (3.57) |
3.54 ↑ (3.28) |
5.6% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 5).
- Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (79.13%), project points - 71, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (79%).
- St. Pauli has the most likely position - 6 (37.13%), project points - 56, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 40, importance 54, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.
- Darmstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Darmstadt will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against St. Pauli?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Darmstadt?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Darmstadt
1:1
Latest results of Darmstadt
Latest results of St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
2 | Darmstadt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Greuther Furth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Schalke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Paderborn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Braunschweig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Hannover | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
10 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Preussen Munster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Nurnberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Kaiserslautern | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Dusseldorf | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga