RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 21
Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, ZAP
Angola	Z Sport 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 258
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.57
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Goal Attempts
11	7
Shots on Goal
6	4
Shots off Goal
3	2
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
0	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
Free Kicks
8	12
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
12	8
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
26	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
27	22
Passes
89% (504/569)	82% (359/440)
Passes in the final third
61% (50/82)	68% (83/122)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	17% (3/18)
Tackles
60% (6/10)	59% (13/22)
Clearances Total
33	18
Interceptions
3	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Geertruida L. 🟨,
11', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Sesko B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Geertruida L. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
57', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
57', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
58', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
66', Kampl K. 🟨,
69', Orban W. 🟥,
73', Nusa A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
73', Sesko B. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
73', Kampl K. ↓, Bitshiabu E. ↑,
80', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
80', Nemeth D. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
83', Lukeba C. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
56.9%

Draw
24.1%

St. Pauli
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.4%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

20.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

RB Leipzig - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)	3.98 ↓ (4.48)	5.1 ↓ (6.29)	4% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - St. Pauli?

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 56 - 84.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 76.1% – 93.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Saliakas M. (Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against St. Pauli?

RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against RB Leipzig?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - St. Pauli were as follows:

29.10.2024 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 4:2

22.09.2024 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 0:0

Latest results of RB Leipzig

01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺

29.01.2025 Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

25.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺

22.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2 ✺

15.01.2025 Bochum - St. Pauli 1:0 ✺

11.01.2025 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga