RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - St. Pauli
Result
2:0
09/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
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azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, RCTI+, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDaystar Pacific, Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.57
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
117
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
812
Offsides
23
Fouls
128
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2620
Touches in the Opposition Box
2722
Passes
89% (504/569)82% (359/440)
Passes in the final third
61% (50/82)68% (83/122)
Crosses
31% (4/13)17% (3/18)
Tackles
60% (6/10)59% (13/22)
Clearances Total
3318
Interceptions
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', Geertruida L. 🟨,
  • 11', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Sesko B. , Simons X. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Simons X. , Sesko B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Geertruida L. , Seiwald N. ,
  • 57', Van Der Heyden S. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 57', Boukhalfa C. , Saad E. ,
  • 58', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
  • 66', Kampl K. 🟨,
  • 69', Orban W. 🟥,
  • 73', Nusa A. , Baumgartner C. ,
  • 73', Sesko B. , Openda L. ,
  • 73', Kampl K. , Bitshiabu E. ,
  • 80', Weisshaupt N. , Banks S. ,
  • 80', Nemeth D. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 83', Lukeba C. , Klostermann L. ,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
56.9%
Draw
24.1%
St. Pauli
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 21.4% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 20.9% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • RB Leipzig - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.51)
    3.98
    (4.48)
    5.1
    (6.29)
    4%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 56 - 84.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 76.1%93.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Saliakas M. (Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - St. Pauli were as follows:
    29.10.2024 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 4:2
    22.09.2024 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    01.02.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:0
    29.01.2025 Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig 1:0
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    15.01.2025 Bochum - St. Pauli 1:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga