Result
2:0
09/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (504/569) | 82% (359/440) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (50/82) | 68% (83/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 17% (3/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 59% (13/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Geertruida L. 🟨,
- 11', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Simons X. (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Simons X. ⚽, Sesko B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Geertruida L. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
- 57', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
- 57', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
- 58', Dzwigala A. 🟨,
- 66', Kampl K. 🟨,
- 69', Orban W. 🟥,
- 73', Nusa A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
- 73', Sesko B. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
- 73', Kampl K. ↓, Bitshiabu E. ↑,
- 80', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
- 80', Nemeth D. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 83', Lukeba C. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
56.9% | Draw
24.1% | St. Pauli
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
RB Leipzig - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.51) |
3.98 ↓
(4.48) |
5.1 ↓
(6.29) |
4%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
66 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 56 - 84.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 76.1% – 93.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S.
(Knee Injury)
Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Guilavogui M.
(Ankle Injury)
Saliakas M.
(Injury)
Wagner R.
(Thigh Injury)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Metcalfe C.
(Leg Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against St. Pauli?
RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against RB Leipzig?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.10.2024
RB Leipzig
-
St. Pauli
4:2
22.09.2024
St. Pauli
-
RB Leipzig
0:0
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
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