St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Postponed
10/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.000.00
Ball possession
0%0%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
00
Expected goals (xG)
0.000.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.00
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
00
Shots outside the box
00
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
00
Touches in opposition box
00
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
00
Expected assists (xA)
0.000.00
Throw ins
00
Fouls
00
Duels won
00
Clearances
00
Interceptions
00
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.00
Goals prevented
0.000.00

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
24.1%
Draw
26%
RB Leipzig
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 25.4% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 26.5% 51.9%

St. Pauli - RB Leipzig Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.92
(3.83)
3.64
(3.75)
1.91
(1.91)
5.2%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - RB Leipzig?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 3 - 50%). RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to bad weather.
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
    • St. Pauli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • RB Leipzig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Muscle Injury) Banzuzi E. (Muscle Injury) Diomande Y. (International duty) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Ankle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    29.10.2024 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 4:2
    22.09.2024 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    04.01.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:0
    21.12.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 0:0
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1
    06.12.2025 Köln - St. Pauli 1:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich16142063:125144
    2Dortmund1696129:151433
    3RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    4Bayer Leverkusen1692534:241029
    5Stuttgart1692529:23629
    6Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1675433:33026
    8Freiburg1665527:27023
    9Union Berlin1664622:25-322
    10B. Monchengladbach1654722:24-219
    11FC Koln1645724:26-217
    12Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    13Hamburger SV1644817:27-1016
    14Wolfsburg1643924:36-1215
    15Augsburg16421017:32-1514
    16St. Pauli1533913:26-1312
    17Heidenheim16331015:36-2112
    18Mainz1616915:28-139

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga