Result
23:39
25/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Pro D2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | Canal+ Live 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Tries |
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2 | 5 |
Conversion Goals |
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2 | 4 |
Conversion Goal Attempts |
---|
0 | 0 |
Penalty Goals |
---|
3 | 2 |
Penalty Goal Attempts |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goals % |
---|
0 | 0 |
Dropped Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Total Runs |
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0 | 0 |
Metres Run With Ball |
---|
0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (16 - 22)
- 5', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
- 7', Boudou B. (Try),
- 8', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Bosch C. D. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
- 21', Lefranc B. (Try),
- 22', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Ferte M. (Try),
- 33', Nioradze L. (Try),
- 34', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 17)
- 48', Bosch C. D. (Penalty Goal),
- 56', van der Merwe M. (Try),
- 57', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', van der Merwe M. (Try),
- 61', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Bloemen K. (Try),
- 64', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Stade Aurillacois 43.6% | Draw 4.2% | Brive 52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Aurillacois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Aurillacois's form might have worsened.Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brive's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Aurillacois than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Aurillacois, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stade Aurillacois - Brive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (1.68) |
21.98 ↓ (25) |
1.8 ↓ (2.05) |
7.9% (12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Aurillacois won 2.
- Stade Aurillacois is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brive is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 104:197 (average 14.9:28.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 37:25 (average 18.5:12.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Aurillacois won against Brive?
Stade Aurillacois has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brive won against Stade Aurillacois?
Brive has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Aurillacois - Brive were as follows:
20.09.2024
Brive
-
Stade Aurillacois
48:17
26.04.2024
Brive
-
Stade Aurillacois
45:13
03.11.2023
Stade Aurillacois
-
Brive
23:14
Latest results of Stade Aurillacois
French Pro D2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
1 | Colomiers | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 195:93 | 22 |
2 | Vannes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 164:108 | 21 |
3 | CA Brive | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 178:128 | 20 |
4 | Nevers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 180:137 | 20 |
5 | Agen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 151:135 | 18 |
6 | Valence Romans | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 153:177 | 17 |
7 | Provence Rugby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 180:149 | 16 |
8 | Grenoble FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 152:147 | 15 |
9 | Aurillac | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 155:145 | 15 |
10 | Beziers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 193:165 | 15 |
11 | US Oyonnax | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 162:129 | 12 |
12 | Carcassonne | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 112:151 | 9 |
13 | Angouleme | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 90:177 | 8 |
14 | Biarritz Olympique | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 153:209 | 7 |
15 | Mont-de-Marsan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 106:217 | 5 |
16 | US Dax | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 102:159 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Pro D2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nationale