Stade Aurillacois vs Brive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
24:13
05/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 6)
  • 2nd Half (21 - 7)

Chances of winning


Stade Aurillacois
58.3%
Draw
4.6%
Brive
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 4.6% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 4.9% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stade Aurillacois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Aurillacois's performance.
  • Brive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Aurillacois than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Aurillacois that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brive than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stade Aurillacois - Brive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.77)
    19.82
    (20.12)
    2.48
    (2.17)
    8.6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brive may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Stade Aurillacois will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 127:236. (average 15.9:29.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:64. (average 20:21.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Aurillacois - Brive were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Stade Aurillacois - Brive 23:39
    20.09.2024 Brive - Stade Aurillacois 48:17
    26.04.2024 Brive - Stade Aurillacois 45:13
    03.11.2023 Stade Aurillacois - Brive 23:14
    Latest results of Stade Aurillacois
    Latest results of Brive
    27.11.2025 Brive - Colomiers 27:18
    14.11.2025 Béziers - Brive 25:17
    07.11.2025 Brive - Mont-De-Marsan 68:10
    31.10.2025 Provence Rugby - Brive 25:3
    24.10.2025 Brive - SA XV Charente 16:25
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes221813719:40185
    2Colomiers221606590:33772
    3Provence Rugby221408662:48770
    4Valence Romans221408558:53162
    5US Oyonnax2211011658:48457
    6CA Brive2211110614:48555
    7Agen2211011558:52152
    8Aurillac2210012513:56347
    9Grenoble FC2210012540:58745
    10Angouleme2210012397:54644
    11Nevers228113532:70340
    12Beziers229013442:54938
    13US Dax2210012495:47035
    14Biarritz Olympique228113561:65035
    15Mont-de-Marsan227114458:72733
    16Carcassonne226115398:65430

          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Pro D2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nationale