Stade Aurillacois vs Brive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Pro D2 Stade Aurillacois - Brive
Result
23:39
25/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2

Match Stats

Tries
25
Conversion Goals
24
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
32
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 22)
  • 5', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
  • 7', Boudou B. (Try),
  • 8', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
  • 12', Bosch C. D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 18', Seunes U. (Penalty Goal),
  • 21', Lefranc B. (Try),
  • 22', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Ferte M. (Try),
  • 33', Nioradze L. (Try),
  • 34', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 17)
  • 48', Bosch C. D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 56', van der Merwe M. (Try),
  • 57', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', van der Merwe M. (Try),
  • 61', Bosch C. D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 63', Bloemen K. (Try),
  • 64', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Stade Aurillacois
43.6%
Draw
4.2%
Brive
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 3.6% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 4% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stade Aurillacois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Aurillacois's form might have worsened.
  • Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brive's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Aurillacois than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Aurillacois, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stade Aurillacois - Brive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.68)
    22.32
    (25)
    1.79
    (2.05)
    7.7%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Aurillacois won 2.
    • Stade Aurillacois is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brive is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 104:197 (average 14.9:28.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stade Aurillacois won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 37:25 (average 18.5:12.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Aurillacois - Brive were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Brive - Stade Aurillacois 48:17
    26.04.2024 Brive - Stade Aurillacois 45:13
    03.11.2023 Stade Aurillacois - Brive 23:14
    Latest results of Stade Aurillacois
    Latest results of Brive
    18.04.2025 Brive - Provence Rugby 24:17
    11.04.2025 Agen - Brive 13:19
    28.03.2025 Montauban - Brive 17:21
    07.03.2025 Brive - Mont-De-Marsan 33:20
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1USA PerpignanGrenoble FC13 : 11