Result
1:2
03/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Krumplewski D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Kozajda M. 🟨,
- 32', Ozimek M. 🟨,
- 35', Gerbowski F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Gric J. 🟨,
- 57', Gerbowski F. 🟨,
- 60', Odolak K. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
- 66', Bartlewicz S. 🟨,
- 68', Mandrysz R. 🟨,
- 68', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
- 68', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
- 71', Bartlewicz S. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
- 71', Janczukowicz P. ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Diez A. ⚽, Kruszelnicki P. (A),
- 80', 1 - 1, Mazur M. ⚽, Mandrysz R. (A),
- 81', Bukowski A. ↓, Pisek J. ↑,
- 81', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Mazurek D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Mandrysz R. ⚽,
- 87', Strozik S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ozimek M. ↓, Kuzdra J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
38.7% | Draw
27% | Chrobry Głogów
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Mielec's form might have worsened.Chrobry Głogów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chrobry Głogów's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Mielec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chrobry Głogów than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chrobry Głogów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2) |
3.41 ↓
(3.59) |
2.71 ↓
(3.32) |
8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Chrobry will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
- Stal Mielec is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chrobry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stal Mielec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Chrobry Głogów?
Stal Mielec has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chrobry Głogów won against Stal Mielec?
Chrobry Głogów has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów were as follows:
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Chrobry Głogów
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51:40 | 11 | 47 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Grodzisk M | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:40 | 5 | 42 |
| 5 | Ruch Chorzow | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 41:37 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | LKS Lodz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 40:38 | 2 | 41 |
| 7 | Polonia Warszawa | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 41 |
| 8 | Wieczysta Krakow | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 52:40 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Legnica | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Puszcza | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 38 |
| 12 | Polonia Bytom | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 37 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 37:52 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leczna | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 20 |
| 18 | Tychy | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 31:60 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
