Result
2:2
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 360, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
82% (361/439) | 81% (340/421) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.60 | 1.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.42 | 1.94 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (361/439) | 81% (340/421) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (31/54) | 38% (25/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (124/167) | 73% (35/48) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (7/25) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.78 | 0.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 70% (14/20) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.94 | 2.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.06 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Wolsztynski L. (Pen),
- 59', Shkurin I. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 60', Goncalves C. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Pekhart T. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
- 71', Wolsztynski L. 🟨,
- 72', Wlazlo P. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 72', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 72', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 2, Wszolek P. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 83', Knap K. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 86', Elitim J. ↓, Wyganowski A. ↑,
- 87', Matras M. 🟨,
- 88', Luquinhas ↓, Kucharczyk M. ↑,
- 90', Jaunzems A. ↓, Zieba D. ↑,
- 90+4', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Jalocha K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw 68.4% | Draw 18.1% | Stal Mielec 13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.41) |
5.17 ↑ (4.83) |
6.93 ↑ (6.51) |
6.3% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ziolkowski J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Inactive)
Tkacz D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Stal Mielec?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Legia Warsaw?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec were as follows:
01.12.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
2:2
28.04.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
1:3
29.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Stal Mielec
1:3
12.03.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Stal Mielec
2:0
26.08.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1