Result
2:2
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/439) | 81% (340/421) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/439) | 81% (340/421) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 38% (25/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (124/167) | 73% (35/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Wolsztynski L. (Pen),
- 59', Shkurin I. ↓, Gual M. ↑,
- 60', Goncalves C. ↓, Pekhart T. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Pekhart T. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
- 71', Wolsztynski L. 🟨,
- 72', Wlazlo P. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 72', Gerbowski F. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
- 72', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Matras M. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 2, Wszolek P. ⚽, Elitim J. (A),
- 83', Knap K. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 86', Elitim J. ↓, Wyganowski A. ↑,
- 87', Matras M. 🟨,
- 88', Luquinhas ↓, Kucharczyk M. ↑,
- 90', Jaunzems A. ↓, Zieba D. ↑,
- 90+4', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Jalocha K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw
68.4% | Draw
18.1% | Stal Mielec
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.41) |
5.17 ↑
(4.83) |
6.93 ↑
(6.51) |
6.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Stal Mielec is Relegated to Division 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Legia is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Legia: Kapustka B.
(Knee Injury)
Leszczynski J.
(Knee Injury)
Ziolkowski J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Pajnowski K.
(Inactive)
Tkacz D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Legia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Stal Mielec?
Legia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Legia Warsaw?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec were as follows:
01.12.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
2:2
28.04.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
1:3
29.10.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Stal Mielec
1:3
12.03.2023
Legia Warsaw
-
Stal Mielec
2:0
26.08.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Legia Warsaw
0:1
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 |
| 12 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
