Result
4:1
30/03/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 26
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/413) | 83% (399/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/413) | 83% (399/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (14/45) | 64% (37/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (70/103) | 74% (103/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 41% (12/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Guillaumier M. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Madrzyk J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Ede B. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
- 60', Guillaumier M. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 60', Kadzior D. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 60', 3 - 0, Labojko J. ⚽,
- 62', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 62', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. J. ↑,
- 69', Najemski A. 🟨,
- 70', Wojcik F. ↓, Stolarski P. ↑,
- 70', Najemski A. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 70', Senger M. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 71', Dadok R. ↓, Cavaleiro I. ↑,
- 78', Simon C. ↓, Sefer A. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 0, Mraz S. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
- 83', Assayag R. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
- 90+8', 4 - 1, Wolkowicz K. ⚽, Cavaleiro I. (A),
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
44.6% | Draw
26.9% | Stal Mielec
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.12) |
3.5 ↓
(3.55) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15).
- Recent matches Motor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Stal Mielec has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Motor will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motor: Bartos M.
(Yellow Cards)
Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
Kruk K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Kadzior D.
(Red Card)
Knap K.
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Stal Mielec?
Motor Lublin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Motor Lublin?
Stal Mielec has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec were as follows:
22.09.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Motor Lublin
1:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | Termalica B-B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
