Result
1:4
15/03/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 3.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 24 | 38 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (223/303) | 84% (416/493) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 56% (47/84) | 80% (152/190) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 19% (3/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (4/5) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Paluszek A. ⚽, Guercio T. (A),
- 10', Leszczynski R. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
- 38', Kadzior D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 54', Schwarz P. (Pen),
- 54', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 59', Paluszek A. ↓, Petkov A. ↑,
- 61', Pozo J. 🟨,
- 64', Ortiz A. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽, Schwarz P. (A),
- 73', Dadok R. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 3, Schwarz P. ⚽, Guercio T. (A),
- 77', Beauguel J. ↓, Assayag R. ↑,
- 77', Domanski M. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 84', Pozo J. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
- 84', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
- 84', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
- 85', Jaunzems A. ↓, Gerbowski F. ↑,
- 85', Senger M. ↓, Esselink B. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 4, Ince B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
41.4% | Draw
28.4% | Śląsk Wrocław
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.23) |
3.3 ↑
(3.27) |
3.12 ↓
(3.21) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Śląsk will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 3.
- Stal Mielec is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Śląsk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Śląsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Stal Mielec will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
Knap K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M.
(Knee Injury)
Pokorny P.
(Injury)
Swierczok J.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Śląsk Wrocław?
Stal Mielec has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Śląsk Wrocław won against Stal Mielec?
Śląsk Wrocław has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław were as follows:
23.10.2024
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
16.02.2024
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Stal Mielec
0:1
12.08.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Śląsk Wrocław
3:1
18.03.2023
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
03.09.2022
Stal Mielec
-
Śląsk Wrocław
2:0
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
