Stal Mielec vs Znicz Pruszków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
817
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
  • 31', Szeliga B. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Tabara K. , Proczek T. (A),
  • 41', Koprowski O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tabara K. , Karol M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Puerto I. ,
  • 65', Diez A. 🟨,
  • 68', Koprowski O. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 70', Bak D. , Nadolski A. ,
  • 70', Proczek T. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 73', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 73', Pisek J. , Losada M. ,
  • 78', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 83', Fucak K. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Jach J. ,
  • 86', Diez A. , Odolak K. ,
  • 90+2', Karol M. , Ciepiela B. ,
  • 90+4', Sokol D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
40.5%
Draw
26.1%
Znicz Pruszków
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 26.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.18)
    3.57
    (3.55)
    2.8
    (2.99)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec 4:5
    17.01.2024 Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2