Stal Mielec vs Znicz Pruszków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
817
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
  • 31', Szeliga B. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Tabara K. , Proczek T. (A),
  • 41', Koprowski O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tabara K. , Karol M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Puerto I. ,
  • 65', Diez A. 🟨,
  • 68', Koprowski O. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 70', Bak D. , Nadolski A. ,
  • 70', Proczek T. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 73', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 73', Pisek J. , Losada M. ,
  • 78', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 83', Fucak K. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Jach J. ,
  • 86', Diez A. , Odolak K. ,
  • 90+2', Karol M. , Ciepiela B. ,
  • 90+4', Sokol D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
40.5%
Draw
26.1%
Znicz Pruszków
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 26.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.18)
    3.57
    (3.55)
    2.8
    (2.99)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec 4:5
    17.01.2024 Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2