Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 4
- Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (391/496) | 64% (204/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (391/496) | 64% (204/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 40% (38/95) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (100/154) | 52% (73/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 2.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Karlsbakk M. ⚽,
- 23', Ugland M. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Ranger L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Norheim J. ↓, Jebali O. ↑,
- 61', Gausdal L. ↓, Lorentzen H. ↑,
- 61', Cornelius J. ↓, Toure O. ↑,
- 62', Segberg E. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 0, Felix Va ⚽, Olsen T. (A),
- 72', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
- 72', Schulze E. ↓, Soomets M. ↑,
- 72', Ampofo J. ↓, Gurendal A. F. ↑,
- 72', Drammeh S. ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Toure O. ⚽, Lorentzen H. (A),
- 87', Kitolano E. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
- 89', Ibrahimaj Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jebali O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Toure O. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jebara C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Felix Va ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lillestrøm SK
65.9% | Draw
19.6% | Start
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lillestrøm SK's performance.Start has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm SK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lillestrøm SK - Start Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.59) |
4.83 ↑
(4.71) |
6.56 ↑
(4.65) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lillestrøm SK - Start?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lillestrøm SK will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 3.
- Lillestrøm has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Start is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lillestrøm is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F.
(Knee Injury)
Krygard K.
(Injury)
Waehler M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Start: Mvoue S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Torkildsen J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Gabrielsen R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Garnas E. B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Start: Meyer J.
(Groin Injury)
Palerud F.
(Injury)
Strannegard T.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Start?
Lillestrøm SK has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Start won against Lillestrøm SK?
Start has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lillestrøm SK - Start were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lillestrøm SK
-
Start
3:0
26.07.2025
Start
-
Lillestrøm SK
0:3
Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Viking | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | HamKam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brann | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Kristiansund | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
