Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Albert Bartlett Stadium (Airdrie).

Championship - Relegation - Semi-finals
Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
7	3
Corner Kicks
8	1
Yellow Cards
1	4
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
12	6
Corner Kicks
8	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Strapp L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Bannon A. ⚽, Frizzell A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Wilson B. ⚽, Strapp L. (A),
56', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
57', McStravick L. ↓, Armstrong R. ↑,
57', Frizzell A. ↓, McGregor L. ↑,
57', McGrattan L. ↓, Diack R. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Yates M. ⚽,
66', Meechan R. 🟨,
67', Wedderburn N. ↓, Alston B. ↑,
72', Jamieson D. 🟨,
73', Yates M. 🟨,
75', Yates M. ↓, Tomlinson S. ↑,
82', O'Reilly E. ↓, Mcluckie B. ↑,
86', Strapp L. ↓, Duffy F. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Airdrieonians
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

Stenhousemuir
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

20%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4.21 ↑ (4.02)	5.75 ↑ (5.33)	7.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Stenhousemuir (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Airdrieonians will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Airdrieonians will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Airdrieonians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 3.
Airdrieonians has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stenhousemuir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Stenhousemuir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Airdrieonians is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Airdrieonians won against Stenhousemuir?

Airdrieonians has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stenhousemuir won against Airdrieonians?

Stenhousemuir has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Airdrieonians - Stenhousemuir were as follows:

06.05.2025 Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians 1:3

Latest results of Airdrieonians

06.05.2025 Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians 1:3 ✺

02.05.2025 Airdrieonians - Ayr United 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Airdrieonians - Greenock Morton 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Stenhousemuir

06.05.2025 Stenhousemuir - Airdrieonians 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Stenhousemuir - Dumbarton 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir - Inverness 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Arbroath - Stenhousemuir 4:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	33	19	11	3	62:25	37	68
2	Partick Thistle	33	17	12	4	50:33	17	63
3	Arbroath	33	12	11	10	41:40	1	47
4	Dunfermline	32	13	7	12	48:37	11	46
5	Raith	32	10	9	13	37:36	1	39
6	Ayr	33	8	15	10	36:42	-6	39
7	Queen's Park	32	9	12	11	34:43	-9	39
8	Morton	33	8	12	13	35:47	-12	36
9	Airdrieonians	32	7	9	16	28:43	-15	30
10	Ross County	33	6	10	17	28:53	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One