Result
2:2
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 108 | 147 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 44 | 67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Butterworth D. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 15', Forster-Caskey J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
- 29', Freeman N. 🟨,
- 39', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Charters T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hemmings K. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
- 46', Thompson L. ↓, Thompson B. ↑,
- 46', Roberts J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Butterworth D. ⚽,
- 67', Neal H. 🟨,
- 67', List E. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
- 72', Butterworth D. 🟨,
- 77', Lewis H. 🟨,
- 79', Butterworth D. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, MacDonald A. (Pen),
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Vancooten T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
17.6% | Draw
24.1% | Stevenage Borough
58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.4 ↑
(4.14) |
3.9 ↑
(3.5) |
1.61 ↓
(1.87) |
6.2%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
- Carlisle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Stevenage is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Stevenage Borough?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Carlisle United?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
09.09.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Carlisle United
2:2
18.03.2023
Carlisle United
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
