Result
2:2
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 14 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 30 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 7 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Attacks |
---|
108 | 147 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
44 | 67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Butterworth D. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
- 15', Forster-Caskey J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
- 29', Freeman N. 🟨,
- 39', Roberts J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Charters T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hemmings K. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
- 46', Thompson L. ↓, Thompson B. ↑,
- 46', Roberts J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Butterworth D. ⚽,
- 67', Neal H. 🟨,
- 67', List E. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
- 72', Butterworth D. 🟨,
- 77', Lewis H. 🟨,
- 79', Butterworth D. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, MacDonald A. (Pen),
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Vancooten T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United 17.6% | Draw 24.1% | Stevenage Borough 58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.4 ↑ (4.14) |
3.9 ↑ (3.5) |
1.61 ↓ (1.87) |
6.2% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 48.9% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
- Carlisle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Stevenage is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Stevenage Borough?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Carlisle United?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
09.09.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Carlisle United
2:2
18.03.2023
Carlisle United
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two