Carlisle United vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough
Result
2:2
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
  • Referee: Middleton D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.06
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
42
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
24
Corner Kicks
114
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
2730
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Fouls
137
Yellow Cards
42
Attacks
108147
Dangerous Attacks
4467

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Butterworth D. , Ellis J. (A),
  • 15', Forster-Caskey J. , Vancooten T. ,
  • 29', Freeman N. 🟨,
  • 39', Roberts J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Charters T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hemmings K. , Oliver V. ,
  • 46', Thompson L. , Thompson B. ,
  • 46', Roberts J. , Guinness-Walker N. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Butterworth D. ,
  • 67', Neal H. 🟨,
  • 67', List E. , MacDonald A. ,
  • 72', Butterworth D. 🟨,
  • 77', Lewis H. 🟨,
  • 79', Butterworth D. , Diamond J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, MacDonald A. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Vancooten T. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
17.6%
Draw
24.1%
Stevenage Borough
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 26.9% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7% 27% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.4
    (4.14)
    3.9
    (3.5)
    1.61
    (1.87)
    6.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 48.9%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
    • Carlisle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Stevenage is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26-20.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United 2:2
    18.03.2023 Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough 0:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two