Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/353) | 73% (261/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/353) | 73% (261/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 37% (25/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (98/132) | 46% (45/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Ojo F. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 66', Shipley J. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 67', Curtis R. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 69', Houghton J. 🟨,
- 71', Patterson P. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 71', Houghton J. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
- 71', Roberts J. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
- 75', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
- 75', Clark M. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
- 82', Ojo F. ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Reid J. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Reid J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Goode C. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', Butler D. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
- 90+7', Reid J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
35.3% | Draw
31.6% | Stevenage Borough
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Stevenage Borough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.7) |
2.97 ↓
(3.21) |
2.82 ↑
(2.23) |
6.9%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Stevenage Borough?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 3 - 50%). Stevenage (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
- Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stevenage is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Inactive)
Byers G.
(Red Card)
Garrity B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Stevenage Borough?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Port Vale?
Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
10.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Stevenage Borough
2:2
12.12.2023
Port Vale
-
Stevenage Borough
3:4
02.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Port Vale
1:1
21.10.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Port Vale
0:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
