Port Vale vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 4
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.86
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (271/353)73% (261/359)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.042.02
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
77% (271/353)73% (261/359)
Long passes
42% (22/53)37% (25/68)
Passes in final third
74% (98/132)46% (45/97)
Crosses
36% (9/25)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.65
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1113
Tackles
57% (12/21)36% (5/14)
Duels won
6460
Clearances
4738
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.022.04
Goals prevented
0.021.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Ojo F. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. , Shipley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 66', Shipley J. , Garrity B. ,
  • 67', Curtis R. , Faal M. ,
  • 69', Houghton J. 🟨,
  • 71', Patterson P. , Sweeney D. ,
  • 71', Houghton J. , Phillips D. ,
  • 71', Roberts J. , Ahadme G. ,
  • 75', Gordon L. , Headley J. ,
  • 75', Clark M. , Lawrence-Gabriel J. ,
  • 82', Ojo F. , Heneghan B. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Reid J. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Reid J. ,
  • 90+2', Goode C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Butler D. , Freestone L. ,
  • 90+7', Reid J. , Campbell C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
35.3%
Draw
31.6%
Stevenage Borough
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 27.6% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 26.9% 40.8%

Port Vale - Stevenage Borough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.64
(2.7)
2.97
(3.21)
2.82
(2.23)
6.9%
(13%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stevenage will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 19.9%64.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 3 - 50%). Stevenage (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
    • Recent performances by Port Vale have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stevenage is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Port Vale has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Inactive) Byers G. (Red Card) Garrity B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Young J. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Port Vale - Stevenage Borough 2:2
    12.12.2023 Port Vale - Stevenage Borough 3:4
    02.12.2023 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 1:1
    21.10.2023 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 0:0
    Latest results of Port Vale
    16.08.2025 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:0
    12.08.2025 Blackpool - Port Vale 0:1
    07.08.2025 Port Vale - Cardiff City 0:0
    29.07.2025 Altrincham - Port Vale 1:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff22152540:231747
    2Lincoln23135534:231144
    3Bradford City22127332:211143
    4Stockport County22115633:29438
    5Huddersfield23114842:311137
    6Bolton22107530:21937
    7Stevenage21106525:17836
    8Luton23105833:28535
    9Wycombe2378829:27229
    10Reading2278729:28129
    11Mansfield2285928:28029
    12Wigan2278725:25029
    13Blackpool23851029:30-129
    14Peterborough22921126:28-229
    15Barnsley2084832:32028
    16Leyton Orient23841134:38-428
    17AFC Wimbledon22841024:30-628
    18Burton2276923:29-627
    19Northampton22831122:28-627
    20Exeter22821222:21126
    21Plymouth23821328:38-1026
    22Rotherham23661122:33-1124
    23Doncaster23641323:40-1722
    24Port Vale22361313:30-1715

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