Result
2:1
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (254/368) | 60% (198/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (254/368) | 60% (198/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/66) | 22% (18/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (87/164) | 39% (28/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 82 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Campbell E. (A),
- 15', Piergianni C. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Phillips D. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 1, Cornick H. ⚽,
- 33', Cornick H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 45', Stockley J. 🟨,
- 45+8', Gray A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Stockley J. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 60', Gray A. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 60', Magloire T. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
- 64', Phillips D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 65', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
- 65', Phillips M. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 90', Kyle John ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
- 90+1', Earley S. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
- 90+5', White H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
52.8% | Draw
28.4% | Port Vale
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.98) |
3.32 ↑
(3.18) |
4.95 ↑
(3.73) |
6.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Port Vale?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Port Vale (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Stevenage (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Port Vale (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 2.
- Stevenage has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Port Vale has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stevenage may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Stevenage is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Port Vale?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Stevenage Borough?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Port Vale were as follows:
19.08.2025
Port Vale
-
Stevenage Borough
1:2
10.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Stevenage Borough
2:2
12.12.2023
Port Vale
-
Stevenage Borough
3:4
02.12.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Port Vale
1:1
21.10.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
Port Vale
0:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
