Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/355) | 81% (311/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/355) | 81% (311/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 46% (32/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/93) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Mendes C. ⚽, Niskanen I. (A),
- 28', Ojo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 2, Wareham J. ⚽,
- 55', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
- 55', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 3, Tuterov T. ⚽, Aitchison J. (A),
- 64', Ojo F. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
- 64', Shipley J. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 64', Hall G. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 68', Oakes L. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
- 68', Wareham J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 73', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
- 75', Aitchison J. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 3, Humphreys C. ⚽, Heneghan B. (A),
- 82', Aitchison J. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
- 89', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cox S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Archer E. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 90+7', Magennis J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
40.6% | Draw
28.7% | Exeter City
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-2%)
Port Vale - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.26) |
3.24
(3.24) |
3.03 ↓
(3.12) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Exeter (2.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
- Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Exeter is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Inactive)
Hall C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Exeter City?
Port Vale has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Port Vale?
Exeter City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Exeter City were as follows:
13.09.2025
Exeter City
-
Port Vale
0:2
13.04.2024
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
2:4
09.12.2023
Exeter City
-
Port Vale
0:1
18.02.2023
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
1:0
05.11.2022
Port Vale
-
Exeter City
2:3
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
