Stjarnan vs Afturelding – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Stjarnan - Afturelding
28/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Stjarnan
53.6%
Draw
22.7%
Afturelding
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 22.4% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 21.8% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Afturelding aligns with the current prediction.
  • Stjarnan - Afturelding Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.75)
    4.09
    (4.16)
    3.92
    (3.84)
    7.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
    • Stjarnan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Afturelding has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stjarnan is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Afturelding were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Afturelding - Stjarnan 3:0
    10.02.2023 Stjarnan - Afturelding 4:1
    Latest results of Stjarnan
    01.07.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 3:1
    22.06.2025 Akraness - Stjarnan 0:3
    18.06.2025 Stjarnan - Keflavík 4:2
    Latest results of Afturelding
    17.07.2025 Afturelding - Fram 1:1
    03.07.2025 Afturelding - Breiðablik 2:2
    19.06.2025 Afturelding - Fram 0:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valur1593339:201930
    2Vikingur Reykjavik1593327:161130
    3Breidablik1593327:20730
    4Fram1572623:19423
    5Stjarnan1563625:26-121
    6Vestri1561813:14-119
    7Afturelding1554618:20-219
    8Hafnarfjordur1553725:20518
    9Vestmannaeyjar1553714:21-718
    10KA Akureyri1653816:31-1518
    11KR Reykjavik1544735:37-216
    12Akranes16501116:34-1815

          Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
          Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )