Result
4:1
28/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 16
- Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/454) | 71% (181/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (396/454) | 71% (181/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (143/180) | 45% (25/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (13/57) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -2.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Hafthorsson T. G. ⚽,
- 15', Waren B. 🟨,
- 28', Johannsson A. 🟨,
- 31', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
- 35', Andresson A. 🟨,
- 37', Ingimarsson S. T. ↓, Nokkvason G. ↑,
- 37', Andresson J. 🟨,
- 39', Andresson A. 🟥,
- 42', Johannsson A. ↓, Bjarnason G. ↑,
- 45+2', Thorisson T. 🟨,
- 45+5', Saevarsson A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Johannsson A. ↓, Palsson S. ↑,
- 46', Thorisson T. ↓, Eggertsson O. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Waren B. ⚽, Fridjonsson S. (A),
- 60', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Bjarnason A. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
- 75', 3 - 1, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
- 79', Stokke B. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
- 79', Barkarson B. B. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
- 83', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 85', 4 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽,
- 86', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
- 87', Birgisson A. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 87', Orvarsson O. ↓, Jonsson S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
54.8% | Draw
22.7% | Afturelding
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Stjarnan - Afturelding Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.75) |
4.11 ↓
(4.16) |
4.15 ↑
(3.84) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Stjarnan - Afturelding?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Stjarnan will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent form of Stjarnan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Afturelding's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Stjarnan is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Afturelding?
Stjarnan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against Stjarnan?
Afturelding has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Afturelding were as follows:
05.05.2025
Afturelding
-
Stjarnan
3:0
10.02.2023
Stjarnan
-
Afturelding
4:1
Latest results of Stjarnan
Latest results of Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Akranes | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
