Stjarnan vs Afturelding – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Stjarnan - Afturelding
Result
4:1
28/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 16
  • Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.53
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
125
Passes
87% (396/454)71% (181/254)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.22
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
102
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
125
Touches in opposition box
3817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
119
Passes
87% (396/454)71% (181/254)
Long passes
67% (28/42)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)45% (25/56)
Crosses
23% (13/57)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.500.28
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
911
Tackles
71% (12/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2451
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.221.56
Goals prevented
0.22-2.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Hafthorsson T. G. ,
  • 15', Waren B. 🟨,
  • 28', Johannsson A. 🟨,
  • 31', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
  • 35', Andresson A. 🟨,
  • 37', Ingimarsson S. T. , Nokkvason G. ,
  • 37', Andresson J. 🟨,
  • 39', Andresson A. 🟥,
  • 42', Johannsson A. , Bjarnason G. ,
  • 45+2', Thorisson T. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Saevarsson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Johannsson A. , Palsson S. ,
  • 46', Thorisson T. , Eggertsson O. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Waren B. , Fridjonsson S. (A),
  • 60', Hafthorsson T. G. , Runolfsson B. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Bjarnason A. , Waren B. (A),
  • 75', 3 - 1, Nokkvason G. ,
  • 79', Stokke B. , Ragnarsson A. ,
  • 79', Barkarson B. B. , Kassi L. ,
  • 83', Gunnarsson J. , Gudlaugsson B. ,
  • 85', 4 - 1, Eggertsson O. ,
  • 86', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
  • 87', Birgisson A. , Brink H. O. ,
  • 87', Orvarsson O. , Jonsson S. ,

Chances of winning


Stjarnan
54.8%
Draw
22.7%
Afturelding
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 22.4% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 21.8% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Stjarnan - Afturelding Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.75)
    4.11
    (4.16)
    4.15
    (3.84)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Stjarnan - Afturelding?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Stjarnan will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
    • Recent form of Stjarnan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Afturelding's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Stjarnan is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stjarnan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Afturelding were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Afturelding - Stjarnan 3:0
    10.02.2023 Stjarnan - Afturelding 4:1
    Latest results of Stjarnan
    01.07.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 3:1
    22.06.2025 Akraness - Stjarnan 0:3
    18.06.2025 Stjarnan - Keflavík 4:2
    Latest results of Afturelding
    17.07.2025 Afturelding - Fram 1:1
    03.07.2025 Afturelding - Breiðablik 2:2
    19.06.2025 Afturelding - Fram 0:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik25156454:302451
    2Valur25135757:401744
    3Stjarnan25125847:41641
    4Breidablik25109642:38439
    5Hafnarfjordur2588942:38432
    6Fram25951136:36032

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )