Result
27/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 13
- Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/410) | 78% (328/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (331/410) | 78% (328/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (63/105) | 71% (100/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.33 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Waren B. ⚽,
- 27', Ludviksson A. 🟨,
- 30', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
- 42', Orvarsson O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 55', Steindorsson K. 🟨,
- 61', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
- 67', Jonsson A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
- 67', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 67', Steindorsson K. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Kristinsson K. ⚽,
- 72', Hauksson A. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 72', Bjarnason A. ↓, Atlason E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Einarsson V. (A),
- 85', 1 - 3, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Ludviksson A. (A),
- 86', Atlason E. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 86', Waren B. ↓, Kjartansson K. ↑,
- 89', Orrason A. ↓, Gautason V. ↑,
- 89', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Kristjansson G. ↑,
- 90+2', Birgisson A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Omarsson O. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 4, Bjarnason A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
36.9% | Draw
23.8% | Breiðablik
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Stjarnan - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.79) |
3.93 ↑
(3.9) |
2.38 ↑
(2.24) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Stjarnan - Breiðablik?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Breiðablik will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 1.
- Stjarnan is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Breiðablik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 1.5:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Breiðablik?
Stjarnan has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Stjarnan?
Breiðablik has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Breiðablik were as follows:
23.04.2025
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
19.10.2024
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
11.08.2024
Stjarnan
-
Breiðablik
2:2
21.05.2024
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
08.10.2023
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
0:2
Latest results of Stjarnan
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
