Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (217/301) | 82% (402/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (217/301) | 82% (402/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (38/83) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (57/99) | 77% (148/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 26% (12/47) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Waren B. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Ludviksson A. ⚽,
- 24', Muminovic D. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 1, Eggertsson O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 2, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽, Muminovic D. (A),
- 59', Steindorsson K. ↓, Einarsson V. ↑,
- 59', Bjarnason A. ↓, Thorsteinsson A. ↑,
- 59', Kristinsson K. ↓, Ulfarsson T. ↑,
- 65', Hauksson B. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
- 65', Atlason E. ↓, Jonsson S. ↑,
- 65', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
- 72', Ingvarsson D. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽, Ulfarsson T. (A),
- 84', Waren B. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 90+2', Omarsson O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
36.2% | Draw
23% | Breiðablik
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Stjarnan - Breiðablik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.92) |
4.06 ↓
(4.08) |
2.3 ↑
(2.12) |
6.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Stjarnan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 2.1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Breiðablik?
Stjarnan has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Breiðablik won against Stjarnan?
Breiðablik has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - Breiðablik were as follows:
23.04.2025
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
19.10.2024
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
11.08.2024
Stjarnan
-
Breiðablik
2:2
21.05.2024
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
2:1
08.10.2023
Breiðablik
-
Stjarnan
0:2
Latest results of Stjarnan
Latest results of Breiðablik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 58:31 | 27 | 57 |
| 2 | Valur ✔ | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Stjarnan | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 50:45 | 5 | 42 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | Fram | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Hafnarfjordur | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vikingur Reykjavik is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Valur is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
