Result
1:1
07/07/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 14
- Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/335) | 81% (353/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (258/335) | 81% (353/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (89/132) | 63% (74/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 35% (7/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', Robertsson T. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Bjarnason A. (Pen),
- 45', Halldorsson K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 1, Bjornsson U. ⚽, Hallsson S. (A),
- 67', Bjarnason A. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 69', Faqa A. 🟨,
- 69', Birgisson A. 🟨,
- 73', Robertsson T. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
- 74', Brynjolfsson B. ↓, Ingvarsson E. ↑,
- 75', Halldorsson K. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
- 77', Fridjonsson S. ↓, Hauksson A. ↑,
- 78', Gudlaugsson B. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 84', Bjornsson U. ↓, Finnbogason Kr. ↑,
- 89', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Barkarson J. H. ↑,
- 90+2', Nokkvason G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FH Hafnarfjordur
43.3% | Draw
24.9% | Stjarnan
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.13) |
3.73 ↓
(3.81) |
2.92 ↓
(2.95) |
7.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Hafnarfjordur will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hafnarfjordur: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 0.
- Recent form of Hafnarfjordur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stjarnan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hafnarfjordur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hafnarfjordur might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has FH Hafnarfjordur won against Stjarnan?
FH Hafnarfjordur has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against FH Hafnarfjordur?
Stjarnan has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan were as follows:
07.04.2025
Stjarnan
-
FH Hafnarfjordur
2:1
26.10.2024
Stjarnan
-
FH Hafnarfjordur
3:2
01.09.2024
FH Hafnarfjordur
-
Stjarnan
0:3
18.06.2024
Stjarnan
-
FH Hafnarfjordur
4:2
24.09.2023
FH Hafnarfjordur
-
Stjarnan
1:3
Latest results of FH Hafnarfjordur
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
