Charlton Athletic vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.310.50
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
65
Passes
63% (158/252)78% (360/462)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
2.310.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.200.12
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
81
Shots inside the box
132
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free kicks
65
Passes
63% (158/252)78% (360/462)
Long passes
24% (15/62)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
43% (39/91)61% (66/109)
Crosses
52% (11/21)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.47
Throw ins
2422
Fouls
56
Tackles
64% (9/14)80% (4/5)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
4225
Interceptions
92
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.121.20
Goals prevented
0.120.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Lawal B. , Talovierov M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Coady C. 🟨,
  • 49', Thomas S. 🟨,
  • 55', Seko T. 🟨,
  • 55', Godden M. 🟨,
  • 57', Rak-Sakyi J. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 61', Godden M. , Campbell T. ,
  • 74', Rigo T. , Bae J. ,
  • 74', Cresswell A. , Bocat E. ,
  • 75', Thomas S. , Smit M. ,
  • 78', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 0, Campbell T. , Dykes L. (A),
  • 82', Manhoef M. 🟨,
  • 85', Carey S. , Coventry C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Charlton Athletic
33.1%
Draw
31.8%
Stoke City
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 29.6% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 29% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Charlton Athletic - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.68)
    2.95
    (3.15)
    2.7
    (2.6)
    5.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Stoke (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Stoke (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 14).
    • Charlton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Knibbs H. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Bazunu G. (Thigh Injury) Bozenik R. (Shoulder Injury) Gallagher S. (Hamstring Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Mubama D. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlton: Leaburn M. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Stoke City were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Stoke City - Charlton Athletic 3:0
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry34208670:373368
    2Middlesbrough34189751:341763
    3Millwall34178945:40559
    4Ipswich32169756:342257
    5Hull331761055:48757
    6Wrexham341412853:45854
    7Southampton3413111054:45950
    8Bristol City341481247:42550
    9Preston341213941:38349
    10Birmingham3413101145:43249
    11Derby341391249:45448
    12Watford3412121043:40348
    13Stoke341381338:32647
    14QPR341381346:52-647
    15Swansea341371440:40046
    16Sheffield Utd341431748:48045
    17Norwich341261645:44142
    18Charlton3410111333:43-1041
    19Portsmouth331091434:43-939
    20Blackburn341081632:43-1138
    21West Brom34981733:50-1735
    22Leicester3410101447:54-734
    23Oxford Utd346111729:46-1729
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 34182520:68-48-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One