Result
1:0
11/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 32
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (158/252) | 78% (360/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (158/252) | 78% (360/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (15/62) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (39/91) | 61% (66/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Lawal B. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Coady C. 🟨,
- 49', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 55', Seko T. 🟨,
- 55', Godden M. 🟨,
- 57', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 61', Godden M. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
- 74', Rigo T. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 74', Cresswell A. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 75', Thomas S. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
- 78', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Dykes L. (A),
- 82', Manhoef M. 🟨,
- 85', Carey S. ↓, Coventry C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlton Athletic
33.1% | Draw
31.8% | Stoke City
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Charlton Athletic - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.68) |
2.95 ↓
(3.15) |
2.7 ↑
(2.6) |
5.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Stoke (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stoke (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 14).
- Charlton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Knibbs H.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlton: Leaburn M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Stoke City?
Charlton Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Charlton Athletic?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Stoke City were as follows:
25.11.2025
Stoke City
-
Charlton Athletic
3:0
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 93:45 | 48 | 92 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 77:47 | 30 | 81 |
| 3 | Millwall | 45 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 62:49 | 13 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 13 | 10 | 70:45 | 25 | 79 |
| 5 | Southampton ✔ | 45 | 21 | 14 | 10 | 79:55 | 24 | 77 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 67:63 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Hull | 45 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 68:65 | 3 | 70 |
| 8 | Derby | 45 | 20 | 9 | 16 | 66:57 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 62:54 | 8 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 56:55 | 1 | 63 |
| 11 | Swansea | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 54:58 | -4 | 61 |
| 12 | Preston | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54:59 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 45 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 59 |
| 14 | QPR | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 61:70 | -9 | 58 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 57 |
| 16 | Watford | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 53:61 | -8 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 51:54 | -3 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 48:63 | -15 | 54 |
| 19 | Charlton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 43:55 | -12 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 42:55 | -13 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 47:56 | -9 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 45:57 | -12 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57:68 | -11 | 43 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 45 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 27:88 | -61 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
