Result
1:1
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | Net4+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.33 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
68% (191/279) | 74% (225/304) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.33 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.39 | 0.46 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 30 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
68% (191/279) | 74% (225/304) |
Long passes |
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25% (14/55) | 38% (19/50) |
Passes in final third |
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49% (41/84) | 71% (99/140) |
Crosses |
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42% (5/12) | 32% (8/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.31 | 0.75 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
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47% (9/19) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 56 |
Clearances Total |
---|
49 | 36 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.46 | 0.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.65 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', McGuinness M. 🟨,
- 17', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 42', Morris C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 50', Bae J. 🟨,
- 62', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 62', Manhoef M. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 70', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 70', Morris C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 71', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Baker L. ⚽,
- 82', Chong T. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 86', Gallagher S. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
Chances of winning
Stoke City 38.9% | Draw 30.2% | Luton Town 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Stoke City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↑ (2.18) |
3.12 ↓ (3.48) |
3.08 ↓ (3.21) |
5.6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Luton will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Stevens E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
Nakamba M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Burger W.
(Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Luton Town?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stoke City?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Luton Town were as follows:
10.12.2024
Luton Town
-
Stoke City
2:1
04.02.2023
Luton Town
-
Stoke City
1:0
08.11.2022
Stoke City
-
Luton Town
2:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One