Result
1:1
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/279) | 74% (225/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (191/279) | 74% (225/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/55) | 38% (19/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (41/84) | 71% (99/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.75 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', McGuinness M. 🟨,
- 17', Doughty A. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 42', Morris C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 50', Bae J. 🟨,
- 62', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 62', Manhoef M. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 70', Walsh L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 70', Morris C. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 71', Makosso C. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Baker L. ⚽,
- 82', Chong T. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 86', Gallagher S. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Alli M. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
Chances of winning
Stoke City
38.9% | Draw
30.2% | Luton Town
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Stoke City - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.18) |
3.12 ↓
(3.48) |
3.08 ↓
(3.21) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Luton will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Stevens E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Muscle Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Mengi T.
(Groin Injury)
Nakamba M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Burger W.
(Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Luton Town?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Stoke City?
Luton Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Luton Town were as follows:
10.12.2024
Luton Town
-
Stoke City
2:1
04.02.2023
Luton Town
-
Stoke City
1:0
08.11.2022
Stoke City
-
Luton Town
2:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Luton Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
