Result
1:3
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/327) | 77% (294/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (234/327) | 77% (294/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (51/85) | 71% (77/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Mazou-Sacko D. 🟨,
- 15', De Norre C. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Neghli C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 2, Azeez F. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
- 59', Manhoef M. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 60', Baker L. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Taylor C. (Own goal),
- 69', 1 - 3, Coburn J. ⚽, Neghli C. (A),
- 74', Bozenik R. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
- 74', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 80', Sturge Z. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
- 80', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 80', Ballo T. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 81', McNamara D. 🟨,
- 85', Azeez F. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 85', De Norre C. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
21.2% | Draw
23.3% | Millwall
55.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millwall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stoke City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.47 ↑
(2.75) |
4.09 ↑
(3.3) |
1.73 ↓
(2.43) |
4.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Millwall?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Millwall will win
(32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 0.
- Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Millwall has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Millwall could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rigo T.
(Injury)
Talovierov M.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wilmot B.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Gibson B.
(Injury)
Lawal B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A.
(Calf Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Millwall?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Stoke City?
Millwall has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Millwall were as follows:
21.10.2025
Millwall
-
Stoke City
2:0
15.03.2025
Millwall
-
Stoke City
1:0
09.11.2024
Stoke City
-
Millwall
1:1
23.12.2023
Stoke City
-
Millwall
0:0
26.08.2023
Millwall
-
Stoke City
1:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
