Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/330) | 74% (278/376) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/330) | 74% (278/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (23/79) | 33% (27/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (56/115) | 53% (61/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Kirk M. 🟨,
- 41', Pack M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 61', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 67', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
- 67', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
- 70', Bae J. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
- 71', Matthews H. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
- 85', Dozzell A. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
- 87', Talovierov M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 90+5', Baker L. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
33.2% | Draw
29.8% | Stoke City
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Portsmouth - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(2.89) |
3.2 ↑
(3.13) |
2.56 ↑
(2.55) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 26.9% – 73.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Stoke (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Stoke (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portsmouth will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Stoke (votes: 4 - 44.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J.
(Groin Injury)
Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schmid N.
(Wrist Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Swift J.
(Yellow Cards)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Bae J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J.
(Ankle Injury)
Segecic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Stoke City?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Portsmouth?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Stoke City were as follows:
22.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Stoke City
3:1
02.10.2024
Stoke City
-
Portsmouth
6:1
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
