Portsmouth vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.91
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
68% (223/330)	74% (278/376)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15	0.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	0.18
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
7	8
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
25	10
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
15	8
Passes
68% (223/330)	74% (278/376)
Long passes
29% (23/79)	33% (27/81)
Passes in final third
49% (56/115)	53% (61/115)
Crosses
23% (6/26)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	1.12
Throw-ins
21	21
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
88% (7/8)	25% (1/4)
Duels won
40	37
Clearances
19	46
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.18	0.81
Goals prevented
0.18	0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Kirk M. 🟨,
41', Pack M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Thomas S. 🟨,
61', Mubama D. 🟨,
67', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
67', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
70', Bae J. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
71', Matthews H. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
85', Dozzell A. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
87', Talovierov M. 🟨,
90+1', Pearson B. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
90+5', Baker L. ↓, Seko T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
33.2%

Draw
29.8%

Stoke City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.8%

36.4%

Portsmouth - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.89)	3.2 ↑ (3.13)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	5.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Stoke (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Stoke (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portsmouth will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Stoke (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Swift J. (Yellow Cards) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Bae J. (Shoulder Injury) Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury) Segecic A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Lawal B. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1.3:3.3).
Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Stoke City?

Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Portsmouth?

Stoke City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Stoke City were as follows:

22.01.2025 Portsmouth - Stoke City 3:1

02.10.2024 Stoke City - Portsmouth 6:1

Latest results of Portsmouth

21.10.2025 Portsmouth - Coventry City 1:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Leicester City - Portsmouth 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Portsmouth - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Ipswich Town - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Stoke City - Norwich City 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One