Harlequins vs Stormers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
61:10
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
92
Conversion Goals
80
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (33 - 0)
  • 7', Kenningham J. (Try),
  • 8', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 11', Murley C. (Try),
  • 16', Dombrandt A. (Try),
  • 17', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Cunningham-South C. (Try),
  • 27', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', David N. (Try),
  • 31', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (28 - 10)
  • 52', David N. (Try),
  • 54', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', David N. (Try),
  • 60', Carr Z. (Try),
  • 60', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 61', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Khan I. (Try),
  • 72', Maart D. (Try),
  • 80+1', Evans J. (Try),
  • 80+1', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harlequins
68.3%
Draw
4.3%
Stormers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 5.4% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 5.2% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harlequins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harlequins's performance.
  • Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stormers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (-21.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harlequins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stormers than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stormers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Harlequins - Stormers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.91)
    21.5
    (17)
    3.25
    (2)
    9.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Harlequins - Stormers?
  • Users Predictions: Harlequins will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harlequins will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:26.
  • Preview Facts
    • Harlequins is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stormers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Harlequins is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 81:48. (average 40.5:24).
    • Including home match between the teams, Harlequins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 53:16.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harlequins - Stormers were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Harlequins - Stormers 53:16
    01.04.2023 Stormers - Harlequins 32:28
    Latest results of Harlequins
    26.12.2025 Sale Sharks - Harlequins 43:17
    20.12.2025 Harlequins - Bristol Rugby 14:40
    14.12.2025 Harlequins - Aviron Bayonnais 68:14
    06.12.2025 Leinster - Harlequins 52:21
    Latest results of Stormers
    03.01.2026 Stormers - Blue Bulls 13:8
    20.12.2025 Stormers - Lions 34:27
    13.12.2025 Stormers - La Rochelle 42:21
    05.12.2025 Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers 17:26
    29.11.2025 Munster - Stormers 26:27
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesLeicester Tigers64 : 14
    2Stade ToulousainBristol59 : 26
    3BathSaracens31 : 22
    4Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique49 : 41
    5LeinsterEdinburgh49 : 31
    6HarlequinsSale Sharks17 : 26
    7Glasgow WarriorsBulls25 : 21
    8RC ToulonnaisStormers28 : 27

    Quarter-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain30 : 15
    2BathNorthampton Saints43 : 41
    3LeinsterSale Sharks43 : 13
    4Glasgow WarriorsRC Toulonnais19 : 22

    Semi-finals
    1Bordeaux BeglesBath
    2LeinsterRC Toulonnais

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2