Result
2:3
22/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/325) | 91% (522/574) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/325) | 91% (522/574) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 50% (16/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/76) | 73% (80/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.65 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Tabibou D. ⚽, Abline M. (A),
- 16', Barco V. 🟨,
- 29', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Oyedele M. ⚽, Amo-Ameyaw S. (A),
- 45+3', Sissoko I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fofana D. D. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
- 51', Lepenant J. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Awaziem C. (A),
- 58', Oyedele M. 🟨,
- 62', Doukoure I. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 62', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 62', Hogsberg L. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 76', Omobamidele A. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Panichelli J. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
- 81', Tabibou D. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 81', Kaba M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 86', Sissoko I. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 90+1', Guirassy B. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Panichelli J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nantes
26.4% | Draw
26% | Strasbourg
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Nantes - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.5) |
3.66 ↑
(3.58) |
2
(2) |
4.8%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 42.6% – 78.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
- Recent form of Nantes has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Strasbourg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nantes: Camara A.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Coquelin F.
(Injury)
Deuff B.
(Injury)
Sylla A.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Chilwell B.
(Muscle Injury)
Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
Moreira D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mwanga J.
(Arm Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Ouattara A.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Strasbourg?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Nantes?
Strasbourg has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Strasbourg were as follows:
24.08.2025
Strasbourg
-
Nantes
1:0
09.03.2025
Nantes
-
Strasbourg
0:1
27.10.2024
Strasbourg
-
Nantes
3:1
16.03.2024
Nantes
-
Strasbourg
1:3
06.10.2023
Strasbourg
-
Nantes
1:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
