Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (393/445) | 84% (394/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (393/445) | 84% (394/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (20/35) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (92/124) | 67% (38/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Awaziem C. 🟨,
- 41', Omobamidele A. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nanasi S. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 54', Coquelin F. 🟨,
- 56', Guirassy B. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
- 56', Coquelin F. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
- 64', Paez K. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
- 65', El Mourabet S. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 66', Doukoure I. 🟨,
- 71', Leroux L. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 75', Lemarechal F. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Emegha E. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
- 85', Lepenant J. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
- 85', Benhattab Y. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Panichelli J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
53.6% | Draw
26.8% | Nantes
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Strasbourg - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.83) |
3.58 ↑
(3.5) |
4.83 ↑
(4) |
4.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 4.
- Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nantes is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Nantes has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S.
(Calf Injury)
Moreira D.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M.
(Injury)
Centonze F.
(Injury)
Lahdo M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amougou M.
(Injury)
Doue G.
(Injury)
Penders M.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Nantes?
Strasbourg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Strasbourg?
Nantes has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Nantes were as follows:
09.03.2025
Nantes
-
Strasbourg
0:1
27.10.2024
Strasbourg
-
Nantes
3:1
16.03.2024
Nantes
-
Strasbourg
1:3
06.10.2023
Strasbourg
-
Nantes
1:2
07.05.2023
Nantes
-
Strasbourg
0:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
