Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (519/576) | 82% (315/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (519/576) | 82% (315/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 56% (35/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (114/157) | 61% (43/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 43', O'Neil G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 64', Immobile C. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
- 64', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 64', Ikone J. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 69', Yassine G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 79', Enciso J. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
- 89', Matondo R. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
54.9% | Draw
24.5% | Paris FC
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Strasbourg - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.71) |
3.93 ↓
(3.94) |
4.61 ↑
(4.53) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 49.7% – 86.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Strasbourg (1.85) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Paris FC (4.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Strasbourg (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Paris FC (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
- Strasbourg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paris FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Strasbourg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
Moreira D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mwanga J.
(Arm Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Kebbal I.
(Injury)
Ollila T.
(Injury)
Riou R.
(Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Strasbourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Paris FC?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Strasbourg?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Paris FC were as follows:
21.09.2025
Paris FC
-
Strasbourg
2:3
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
