Result
3:2
25/07/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 15
- Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (380/444) | 79% (297/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (380/444) | 79% (297/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 61% (40/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (138/184) | 53% (41/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Conteh A. (Own goal),
- 39', 1 - 1, Bakke J. ⚽, Wikheim G. (A),
- 45', Bakke J. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Sorlokk S. ⚽, Shein R. R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Skogvold H. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
- 65', Bakke J. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
- 65', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
- 65', Farji M. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Krasniqi K. ⚽, Ampofo J. (A),
- 75', Sorlokk S. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 75', Shein R. R. ↓, Metcalfe P. ↑,
- 78', Woledzi M. 🟨,
- 81', Vilsvik L. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Holten E. ⚽, Ohlenschlaeger O. (A),
- 90', Eid D. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fredrikstad
56.2% | Draw
22.9% | Strømsgodset
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)The chances for Strømsgodset have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.64) |
4.11 ↓
(4.35) |
4.54 ↑
(4.5) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Users Predictions:
Fredrikstad will win
(33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 1.
- In recent matches, Fredrikstad has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Strømsgodset is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fredrikstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fredrikstad is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fredrikstad: Fall F.
(Inactive)
Faraas B.
(Leg Injury)
Kvile S.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Ekeland J.
(Knock)
Melkersen E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fredrikstad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Strømsgodset?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strømsgodset won against Fredrikstad?
Strømsgodset has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fredrikstad - Strømsgodset were as follows:
15.03.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Strømsgodset
1:2
26.10.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Fredrikstad
2:0
16.05.2024
Fredrikstad
-
Strømsgodset
4:1
23.03.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Fredrikstad
1:1
31.01.2023
Strømsgodset
-
Fredrikstad
3:2
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Latest results of Strømsgodset
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 42:24 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Tromso | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Brann | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 24 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Kristiansund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Bryne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Molde | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | HamKam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 15 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 6 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5:39 | -34 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
