Result
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
62.9% | Draw
21% | Hartberg
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Sturm Graz - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.53) |
4.48 ↑
(4) |
5.93 ↑
(4.75) |
5.4%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Hartberg?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
- In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hartberg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hartberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Sturm is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Sturm: Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Hartberg: Diarra Y.
(Inactive)
Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Malic A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Hartberg?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Sturm Graz?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Hartberg were as follows:
09.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
11.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
2:0
05.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:1
14.04.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
10.03.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SK Rapid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Sturm Graz | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Altach | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Salzburg | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Austria Vienna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Tirol | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Ried | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | BW Linz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | LASK | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
