Result
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 15
- Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Hartberg
22.2% | Draw
25.3% | Sturm Graz
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hartberg - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↑
(3.95) |
3.69 ↑
(3.6) |
1.81 ↓
(1.85) |
6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hartberg - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hartberg will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Sturm will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sturm Graz will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.
- Hartberg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sturm is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hartberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sturm is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hartberg: Drew J.
(Back Injury)
Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Sturm Graz?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Hartberg?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartberg - Sturm Graz were as follows:
28.09.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:0
09.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
11.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
2:0
05.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:1
14.04.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
Latest results of Hartberg
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 31:19 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 23 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | LASK | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Ried | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Tirol | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Altach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
