Result
12/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
54% | Draw
25.7% | Hartberg
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Sturm Graz - Hartberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.81) |
3.61 ↑
(3.38) |
4.66 ↑
(4.15) |
6.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 4.
- Sturm is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hartberg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Sturm is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Sturm will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Hartberg?
Sturm Graz has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartberg won against Sturm Graz?
Hartberg has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Hartberg were as follows:
30.11.2025
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
0:1
28.09.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:0
09.11.2024
Hartberg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
11.08.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
2:0
05.05.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Hartberg
1:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 | LASK | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
