Sturm Graz vs Kapfenberger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Club Friendly Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV
Result
4:1
05/09/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Club Friendly

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Sarkaria M. ,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Yardimci E. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Stosic N. ,
  • 66', 4 - 1, Kiedl P. ,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
57.9%
Draw
21.2%
Kapfenberger SV
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 19.6% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 18.8% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapfenberger SV's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapfenberger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.45)
    4.36
    (4.82)
    4.42
    (6.25)
    8.2%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kapfenberg will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kapfenberg: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sturm won 5.
    • Sturm in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Kapfenberg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Sturm is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Sturm to win the game is with odds 1.66.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Sturm won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 36-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-6.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    28.08.2024 Ried - Sturm Graz 1:3
    11.08.2024 Sturm Graz - Hartberg 2:0
    Latest results of Kapfenberger SV