Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Bulgaria | BTV Action, Voyo |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free |
 Germany | RTL+, Servus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (315/393) | 75% (263/352) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (315/393) | 75% (263/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (59/91) | 59% (49/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Junior Brumado 🟨,
- 7', 1 - 0, Christensen O. (Own goal),
- 24', Franculino 🟨,
- 45', Billing P. 🟨,
- 45+3', Malone M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rozga F. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 59', Malone M. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 60', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
- 69', Mbabu K. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
- 69', Junior Brumado ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 71', Aiwu E. 🟨,
- 73', Jatta S. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 73', Oermann T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 84', Chukwuani T. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
- 88', Franculino ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 0, Diao O. ⚽, Simsir A. (A),
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
57.8% | Draw
21.5% | Sturm Graz
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.74) |
4.44 ↑
(4.11) |
4.68 ↑
(4.4) |
4%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Sturm Graz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Midtjylland (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Midtjylland will win
(47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.37% – 98.39%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva
(Injury)
Ejeheri O.
(Surgery)
Gogorza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Osorio D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Beck J.
(Inactive)
Borkovic A.
(Inactive)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Malic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Sturm Graz?
Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Midtjylland?
Sturm Graz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Sturm Graz were as follows:
03.11.2022
Midtjylland
-
Sturm Graz
2:0
08.09.2022
Sturm Graz
-
Midtjylland
1:0
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
