Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaServus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyRTL+, Servus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.80
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
80% (315/393)75% (263/352)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.70
Total shots
811
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
80% (315/393)75% (263/352)
Long passes
54% (27/50)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)59% (49/83)
Crosses
41% (7/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.43
Throw-ins
1936
Fouls
1616
Tackles
75% (15/20)55% (12/22)
Duels won
6965
Clearances
2720
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.701.02
Goals prevented
0.700.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Junior Brumado 🟨,
  • 7', 1 - 0, Christensen O. (Own goal),
  • 24', Franculino 🟨,
  • 45', Billing P. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Malone M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rozga F. , Hodl J. ,
  • 59', Malone M. , Grgic L. ,
  • 60', Cho Gue-Sung , Simsir A. ,
  • 69', Mbabu K. , Gabriel A. ,
  • 69', Junior Brumado , Chilufya E. ,
  • 71', Aiwu E. 🟨,
  • 73', Jatta S. , Beganovic B. ,
  • 73', Oermann T. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 84', Chukwuani T. , Beck J. ,
  • 88', Franculino , Byskov V. ,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Diao O. , Simsir A. (A),

Chances of winning


Midtjylland
57.8%
Draw
21.5%
Sturm Graz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.3% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.8% 21.3%

Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.74)
4.44
(4.11)
4.68
(4.4)
4%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Sturm Graz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Midtjylland (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.37%98.39%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva (Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gogorza M. (Muscle Injury) Osorio D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beck J. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    03.11.2022 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0
    08.09.2022 Sturm Graz - Midtjylland 1:0
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0
    17.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Midtjylland 0:3
    31.08.2025 Brøndby - Midtjylland 1:3
    28.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland 0:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2
    14.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1
    30.08.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:3
    26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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