Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MCH Arena (Herning).

Europa League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Arena
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	VIX App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	0.80
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
80% (315/393)	75% (263/352)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	0.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	0.70
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
5	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
16	16
Passes
80% (315/393)	75% (263/352)
Long passes
54% (27/50)	35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
65% (59/91)	59% (49/83)
Crosses
41% (7/17)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.43
Throw-ins
19	36
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
75% (15/20)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
69	65
Clearances
27	20
Interceptions
16	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.70	1.02
Goals prevented
0.70	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Junior Brumado 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Christensen O. (Own goal),
24', Franculino 🟨,
45', Billing P. 🟨,
45+3', Malone M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rozga F. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
59', Malone M. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
60', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Simsir A. ↑,
69', Mbabu K. ↓, Gabriel A. ↑,
69', Junior Brumado ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
71', Aiwu E. 🟨,
73', Jatta S. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
73', Oermann T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
84', Chukwuani T. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
88', Franculino ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Diao O. ⚽, Simsir A. (A),

Chances of winning

Midtjylland
57.8%

Draw
21.5%

Sturm Graz
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

22.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	4.44 ↑ (4.11)	4.68 ↑ (4.4)	4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Sturm Graz?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Midtjylland (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (47 of 52 users predict this - 90.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.37% – 98.39%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Midtjylland will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Sturm (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Recently, Midtjylland has had a series of away games.
In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Midtjylland: Dani Silva (Injury) Ejeheri O. (Surgery) Gogorza M. (Muscle Injury) Osorio D. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sturm: Beck J. (Inactive) Borkovic A. (Inactive) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury) Malic A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Sturm: Gorenc Stankovic J. (Injury)
We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Sturm Graz?

Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Midtjylland?

Sturm Graz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Sturm Graz were as follows:

03.11.2022 Midtjylland - Sturm Graz 2:0

08.09.2022 Sturm Graz - Midtjylland 1:0

Latest results of Midtjylland

20.09.2025 Midtjylland - Viborg 2:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Midtjylland 0:3 ✺

14.09.2025 Nordsjælland - Midtjylland 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Brøndby - Midtjylland 1:3 ✺

28.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Midtjylland 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Sturm Graz

20.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Röthis - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Sturm Graz - Austria Wien 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Grazer AK - Sturm Graz 0:3 ✺

26.08.2025 Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt 2:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Ludogorets (22)	Ferencvaros (12)	2 : 1
2	Panathinaikos (20)	Plzen (14)	2 : 2
3	Din. Zagreb (23)	Genk (9)	1 : 3
4	PAOK (17)	Celta Vigo (16)	1 : 2
5	Celtic (21)	Stuttgart (11)	1 : 4
6	Fenerbahce (19)	Nottingham (13)	0 : 3
7	Brann (24)	Bologna (10)	0 : 1
8	Lille (18)	Crvena zvezda (15)	0 : 1
9	FC Porto (5)	Bye
10	Braga (6)	Bye
11	Midtjylland (3)	Bye
12	Betis (4)	Bye
13	Freiburg (7)	Bye
14	AS Roma (8)	Bye
15	Lyon (1)	Bye
16	Aston Villa (2)	Bye