Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
0:0
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungarySport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay
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italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
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usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.081.41
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
77% (306/396)85% (452/530)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.081.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.260.79
Total shots
49
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
17
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
77% (306/396)85% (452/530)
Long passes
38% (19/50)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
58% (42/72)69% (95/138)
Crosses
50% (1/2)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.05
Throw-ins
1735
Fouls
1713
Tackles
58% (11/19)82% (18/22)
Duels won
5062
Clearances
3412
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.790.26
Goals prevented
0.790.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Yates R. 🟨,
  • 57', Malone M. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
  • 57', Geyrhofer N. ↓, Lavalee D. ↑,
  • 57', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 66', McAtee J. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
  • 73', Kayombo A. 🟨,
  • 77', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Murillo ↑,
  • 78', Horvat T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
  • 79', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Abbott Z. ↑,
  • 87', Malic A. ↓, Mitchell J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
20.1%		Draw
24.8%		Nottingham Forest
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.2% 23.2% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 21% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
    •

    Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.76 ↑
    (4.67)    		 3.89 ↓
    (4.08)    		 1.74 ↑
    (1.67)    		 4.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Nottingham Forest?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Sturm (2.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +1 - Sturm (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (61 of 72 users predict this - 84.72%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.41% – 93.03%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nottingham Forest will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Nottingham (votes: 28 - 84.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Sturm have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nottingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B. (Injury) Borkovic A. (Inactive) Chukwuani T. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Nottingham: Aina O. (Hamstring Injury) Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Bakwa D. (Injury) Cunha (Inactive) Douglas Luiz (Thigh Injury) Gunn A. (Knee Injury) Hutchinson O. (Inactive) Igor Jesus (Yellow Cards) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Zinchenko O. (Groin Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    02.11.2025 Rapid Wien - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Admira - Sturm Graz 1:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 1:3 ✺
    23.10.2025 Celtic - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz 3:4 ✺
    Latest results of Nottingham Forest
    01.11.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest 2:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Porto 2:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    05.10.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)0 : 4, 2 : 0
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)1 : 0
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)1 : 0
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)1 : 1
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)1 : 2
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)0 : 1
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)1 : 1
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Braga (6)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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