Result
04/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chelsea
56.8% | Draw
23.5% | Nottingham Forest
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+3%)
Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.82) |
4.1 ↑
(3.98) |
4.85 ↑
(4.15) |
4%
(4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chelsea - Nottingham Forest?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 38.6% – 83.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.
- Chelsea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nottingham is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Nottingham Forest?
Chelsea has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Chelsea?
Nottingham Forest has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Nottingham Forest were as follows:
18.10.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
0:3
25.05.2025
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
0:1
06.10.2024
Chelsea
-
Nottingham Forest
1:1
11.05.2024
Nottingham Forest
-
Chelsea
2:3
02.09.2023
Chelsea
-
Nottingham Forest
0:1
Latest results of Chelsea
Latest results of Nottingham Forest
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
