Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig
Result
1:0
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 19
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
24%
Draw
25%
RB Leipzig
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 24.5% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 24.5% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (3.68)
    3.85
    (3.87)
    1.89
    (1.91)
    3.8%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 8.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 67.3%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.
    • Sturm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kern M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baku R. (Inactive) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Thigh Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Johnston M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Kampl K. (Calf Injury) Lukeba C. (Thigh Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    21.01.2025 Atalanta - Sturm Graz 5:0
    17.01.2025 Rijeka - Sturm Graz 2:0
    17.01.2025 Orijent - Sturm Graz 1:1
    11.01.2025 Sturm Graz - Grasshoppers 0:1
    08.01.2025 Sturm Graz - Lugano 2:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)