Result
1:0
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Canal+ |
 Brazil | Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 17, New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 19 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app |
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
24% | Draw
25% | RB Leipzig
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↑
(3.68) |
3.85 ↓
(3.87) |
1.89 ↓
(1.91) |
3.8%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig?
Users Predictions:
70 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 8.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 67.3% – 86.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.
- Sturm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kern M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baku R.
(Inactive)
Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Schlager X.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Johnston M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva
(Calf Injury)
Kampl K.
(Calf Injury)
Lukeba C.
(Thigh Injury)
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against RB Leipzig?
Sturm Graz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Sturm Graz?
RB Leipzig has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig were as follows:
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | |
