Sturm Graz vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig
Result
1:0
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport OTT 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 19
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
24%		Draw
25%		RB Leipzig
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 24.5% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 24.5% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.01 ↑
    (3.68)    		 3.85 ↓
    (3.87)    		 1.89 ↓
    (1.91)    		 3.8%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 8.6%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 67.3% – 86.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.
    • Sturm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kern M. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baku R. (Inactive) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Thigh Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Johnston M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Kampl K. (Calf Injury) Lukeba C. (Thigh Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    21.01.2025 Atalanta - Sturm Graz 5:0 ✺
    17.01.2025 Rijeka - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺
    17.01.2025 Orijent - Sturm Graz 1:1 ✺
    11.01.2025 Sturm Graz - Grasshoppers 0:1
    08.01.2025 Sturm Graz - Lugano 2:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    25.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺
    22.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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