Result
20/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
30.3% | Draw
27.1% | Red Bull Salzburg
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.88) |
3.45 ↑
(3.43) |
2.21 ↓
(2.3) |
6.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sturm (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sturm (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Sturm (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
- Sturm is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Salzburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Salzburg might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
09.11.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
1:1
20.09.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
0:2
09.05.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
4:2
13.04.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
02.03.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | LASK | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36:35 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
