Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9, Nova Sport |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/364) | 82% (262/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (283/364) | 82% (262/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 41% (14/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 71% (92/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 29% (9/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Diabate S. 🟥,
- 38', Karic E. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Horvat T. ⚽, Malone M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kratzig F. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
- 46', Yeo M. K. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Jatta S. ⚽, Karic E. (A),
- 59', Rozga F. ↓, Kiteishvili O. ↑,
- 59', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 67', Vertessen Y. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 67', Ratkov P. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
- 70', Schlager A. 🟨,
- 77', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 77', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 83', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Geyrhofer N. ↑,
- 86', Malone M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Salzburg
49.2% | Draw
24.7% | Sturm Graz
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(1.99) |
3.82 ↑
(3.65) |
3.65 ↑
(3.23) |
5.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Red Bull Salzburg will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 1.
- Salzburg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sturm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Salzburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Salzburg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Salzburg: Kawamura T.
(Knee Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Mellberg J.
(Knee Injury)
Onisiwo K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sulzbacher V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Inactive)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There are questionable in Salzburg: Vertessen Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salzburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz were as follows:
09.05.2025
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
4:2
13.04.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
02.03.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
06.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
5:0
28.04.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Ried | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Altach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | BW Linz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Tirol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | LASK | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
