Result
4:2
09/05/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 30
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/283) | 76% (316/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/283) | 76% (316/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (29/80) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (53/112) | 66% (87/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Terzic A. (Own goal),
- 20', 2 - 0, Boving W. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Nene D. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 1, Wuthrich G. ⚽,
- 56', Sulzbacher V. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
- 56', Mellberg J. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 2, Aiwu E. (Own goal),
- 67', Horvat T. ↓, Chukwuani T. ↑,
- 67', Yalcouye M. ↓, Karic E. ↑,
- 68', Gadou J. 🟨,
- 69', Nene D. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 2, Chukwuani T. ⚽, Karic E. (A),
- 76', Grgic L. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 87', Lavalee D. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 87', Boving W. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz
34.5% | Draw
27.7% | Red Bull Salzburg
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.6) |
3.42 ↓
(3.59) |
2.49 ↓
(2.58) |
6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Salzburg will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Red Card)
Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Geyrhofer N.
(Knee Injury)
Jatta S.
(Ankle Injury)
Mayulu F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Salzburg: Capaldo N.
(Toe Injury)
Guindo D.
(Inactive)
Kjaergaard M.
(Ankle Injury)
Konate K.
(Knee Injury)
Onisiwo K.
(Knee Injury)
Yeo M. K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Salzburg: Aguilar E.
(Muscle Injury)
Kawamura T.
(Collarbone injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:38. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Red Bull Salzburg?
Sturm Graz has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Salzburg won against Sturm Graz?
Red Bull Salzburg has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg were as follows:
13.04.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
1:2
02.03.2025
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
3:1
06.10.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Red Bull Salzburg
5:0
28.04.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
2:2
04.04.2024
Red Bull Salzburg
-
Sturm Graz
3:4
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tirol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Grazer AK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Wolfsberger AC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hartberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SK Rapid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Salzburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Ried | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Sturm Graz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
