Sturm Graz vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon
Result
0:2
22/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
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brazilBrazilMax
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polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
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swedenSwedenViaplay
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united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.50
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
65
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
88
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1324
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
88
Yellow Cards
20
Total Passes
369566
Completed Passes
306490
Crosses Completed
43
Interceptions
115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Santos N. , Catamo G. (A),
  • 39', Yalcouye M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. , Debast Z. (A),
  • 56', Esgaio R. , Matheus Reis ,
  • 59', Geyrhofer N. , Johnston M. ,
  • 59', Jatta S. , Zvonarek L. ,
  • 70', Braganca D. , Morita H. ,
  • 70', Araujo M. , Goncalves P. ,
  • 70', Debast Z. , St. Juste J. ,
  • 70', Horvat T. , Yardimci E. ,
  • 84', Santos N. , Quenda G. ,
  • 90', Lavalee D. , Schopp K. ,
  • 90', Biereth M. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 90+4', Yardimci E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
11.8%
Draw
18.3%
Sporting Lisbon
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.4% 18.5% 69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12% 17.9% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.2
    (7.74)
    5.28
    (5.16)
    1.38
    (1.38)
    3.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 10 - 10.6%). Sporting will win (votes: 81 - 86.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 79.2%93.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.
    • Sturm is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sporting is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sporting is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Wuthrich G. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Diomande O. (Ankle Injury) Edwards M. (Muscle Injury) Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Matheus Reis (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sturm won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    14.12.2023 Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz 3:0
    21.09.2023 Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon 1:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce