Result
0:2
30/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 18
- Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Tangiri F. ⚽, Sakurai K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Lawson S. (Pen),
- 63', Yusuf R. ↓, Njoya A. ↑,
- 63', Shchedryi A. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
- 63', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
- 68', Kojic L. 🟨,
- 72', Popescu P. 🟨,
- 77', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Azouazi Y. ↑,
- 82', Tangiri F. ↓, Momoh I. ↑,
- 82', Sakurai K. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hegelmann Litauen
46% | Draw
25.3% | Sūduva Marijampolė
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hegelmann Litauen's form might have worsened.Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva Marijampolė's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hegelmann Litauen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.63) |
3.58 ↓
(3.66) |
3.16 ↓
(4.72) |
10.4%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hegelmann will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sūduva will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hegelmann (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Hegelmann might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hegelmann Litauen won against Sūduva Marijampolė?
Hegelmann Litauen has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sūduva Marijampolė won against Hegelmann Litauen?
Sūduva Marijampolė has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
27.04.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Hegelmann Litauen
4:0
12.02.2025
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Hegelmann Litauen
0:2
02.11.2024
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
2:1
10.08.2024
Sūduva Marijampolė
-
Hegelmann Litauen
0:1
15.06.2024
Hegelmann Litauen
-
Sūduva Marijampolė
3:2
Latest results of Hegelmann Litauen
Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
