Birmingham City LFC vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL 2 - Round 20

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.940.95
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
51
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
74
Passes
77% (361/471)55% (141/256)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.940.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.13
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
66
Shots inside the box
98
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
127
Passes
77% (361/471)55% (141/256)
Long passes
49% (29/59)24% (18/76)
Passes in final third
61% (103/168)42% (32/77)
Crosses
26% (6/23)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.41
Throw ins
3226
Fouls
712
Tackles
64% (7/11)68% (17/25)
Duels won
5659
Clearances
2943
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.130.95
Goals prevented
0.13-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Holloway R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Hurtre O. , Crosthwaite L. ,
  • 66', Finn J. , Greenwood H. ,
  • 66', Watson K. , Kitching K. ,
  • 66', Miyagawa A. , Hopcroft S. ,
  • 66', Harris M. , Cooke S. ,
  • 76', Leidhammar W. , Lee Geum-Min ,
  • 80', McInnes L. , Dunbar N. ,
  • 90+2', Westrup B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Crosthwaite L. , Cooke S. (A),
  • 90+7', Herron N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City LFC
72.3%
Draw
17.2%
Sunderland
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 19.1% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 18.6% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.32)
    5.32
    (4.75)
    8.67
    (7.58)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
    • Birmingham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sunderland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Birmingham is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC 1:1
    02.02.2025 Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC 0:1
    08.09.2024 Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland 5:0
    17.12.2023 Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC 0:3
    08.10.2023 Birmingham City LFC - Sunderland 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City LFC
    Latest results of Sunderland