Derby County vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Sunderland
Result
0:1
21/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.95
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
84
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
129
Offsides
01
Fouls
912
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1930
Touches in the Opposition Box
2118
Passes
77% (263/340)77% (269/351)
Passes in the final third
51% (44/87)61% (73/119)
Crosses
27% (6/22)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)80% (12/15)
Clearances Total
2929
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Mayenda E. ,
  • 33', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Harness M. 🟨,
  • 58', Jackson K. , Salvesen L. ,
  • 58', Mendez-Laing N. , Blackett-Taylor C. ,
  • 58', Thompson L. , Osborn B. ,
  • 72', Wilson K. , Barkhuizen T. ,
  • 72', Yates J. , Brown D. ,
  • 74', Mayenda E. , Roberts P. ,
  • 74', Cirkin D. , Ballard D. ,
  • 86', Rigg C. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 89', Le Fee E. , Hjelde L. F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
26.8%
Draw
28.6%
Sunderland
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 27.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 27.1% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sunderland aligns with the current prediction.
  • Derby County - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.33)
    3.33
    (3.43)
    2.13
    (2.15)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Sunderland will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 25.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 30.8%66%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Derby has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Sunderland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sunderland will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Derby: Nyambe R. (Knee Injury) Phillips N. (Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Browne A. (Broken Leg) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Groin Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Sunderland to win the game is with odds 2.13.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Derby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Sunderland were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Sunderland - Derby County 2:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Sunderland
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    11.01.2025 Sunderland - Stoke City 1:2
    05.01.2025 Sunderland - Portsmouth 1:0
    29.12.2024 Stoke City - Sunderland 1:0
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One