Result
0:1
09/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (284/402) | 71% (249/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (284/402) | 71% (249/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (26/80) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/110) | 63% (75/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 74 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Rupeiks K. 🟨,
- 42', Pathe N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pathe N. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 46', Fjodorovs M. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
- 56', Kluskins G. 🟨,
- 61', Gaucis R. ↓, Puzirevskis A. ↑,
- 61', Sirbu D. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 69', Barkovskis N. 🟨,
- 69', Bamba ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
- 70', Barkovskis N. ↓, Diallo Ndiaye S. ↑,
- 74', Leitans G. 🟨,
- 78', Sidorovs M. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Lizunovs V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Glaudans A. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grobiņa
37.9% | Draw
29.9% | Super Nova
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Grobiņa - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.34) |
3.06 ↓
(3.15) |
2.85
(2.85) |
9.2%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grobiņa - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grobiņa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Super Nova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0.
- Grobiņa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Super Nova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Grobiņa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:30. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:17. (average 0.2:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Super Nova?
Grobiņa has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Grobiņa?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grobiņa - Super Nova were as follows:
18.10.2025
Grobiņa
-
Super Nova
0:0
26.07.2025
Super Nova
-
Grobiņa
0:0
26.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Super Nova
1:1
10.04.2025
Super Nova
-
Grobiņa
1:1
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auda | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | RFS | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Grobina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | FK Liepaja | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
