Result
0:0
26/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (306/391) | 80% (319/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (306/391) | 80% (319/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 57% (41/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/105) | 64% (75/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Emsis E. ↑,
- 68', Sula D. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 76', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
- 76', Baravykas R. ↓, Bekili P. ↑,
- 77', Maslovs R. ↓, Zengis R. ↑,
- 81', Dzerins R. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 81', Gaucis R. ↓, Kalmarzy A. ↑,
- 83', Morarenko S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Glaudans A. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
40.2% | Draw
27.4% | Grobiņa
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Super Nova's form might have worsened.Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grobiņa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grobiņa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Super Nova - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.8) |
3.35 ↓
(3.5) |
2.84 ↓
(3.81) |
8.7%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Super Nova - Grobiņa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.
- Super Nova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grobiņa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Super Nova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- Super Nova might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:5. (average 3.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Grobiņa?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Super Nova?
Grobiņa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Grobiņa were as follows:
26.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
Super Nova
1:1
10.04.2025
Super Nova
-
Grobiņa
1:1
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
