Nasaf Qarshi vs Surkhon Termez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 4
  • Referee: Jasur M. (Uzb)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
96
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Mukhitdinov S. , Abdunazarov D. ,
  • 46', Tursunov D. , Friday R. ,
  • 46', Kodirov F. , Chinedu S. ,
  • 56', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
  • 58', Otubanjo Y. , Usmonov D. ,
  • 58', Abdikholikov B. , Bakhromov S. ,
  • 78', Shamsiev B. , Dzebniauri T. ,
  • 81', Abdukhamidov S. , Uktamov B. ,
  • 81', Abdullazhonov S. , Shukurullaev B. ,
  • 84', Rustamov O. , Sokari K. ,
  • 84', Rakhmatov M. , Komilov A. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 1, Dzebniauri T. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Nasaf Qarshi
58.8%
Draw
25.8%
Surkhon Termez
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 23.9% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.54)
    3.55
    (3.73)
    5.97
    (5.9)
    9.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 4.
    • Nasaf is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Surkhon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nasaf is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Nasaf will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 2.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:3. (average 2.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    13.04.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez 1:0
    18.10.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Surkhon Termez 1:1
    20.05.2024 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    29.08.2023 Surkhon Termez - Nasaf Qarshi 1:2
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Latest results of Surkhon Termez
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona440012:11112
    2Buxoro43106:2410
    3Pakhtakor43018:539
    4Lok. Tashkent42116:427
    5Nasaf Qarshi42114:227
    6Bunyodkor42114:317
    7Andijan42027:526
    8Navbahor Namangan42025:416
    9Qizilqum42024:406
    10OKMK41123:4-14
    11Xorazm Urganch41123:4-14
    12Kokand 191241123:4-14
    13Din. Samarkand41125:7-24
    14Termez Surkhon41122:6-44
    15Sogdiana40134:12-81
    16Mashal Muborak40040:9-90

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