Result
3:1
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (355/475) | 72% (319/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (355/475) | 72% (319/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (27/85) | 26% (20/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (50/91) | 56% (77/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', O'Riordan C. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Powell B. (A),
- 45+1', Powell B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, O'Riordan C. (Own goal),
- 56', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 56', Eom J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 63', 3 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 66', Galbraith E. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 66', Widell M. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
- 73', Powell B. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
- 73', Doherty A. ↓, Forshaw A. ↑,
- 79', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 85', Ronald 🟨,
- 90+1', Forshaw A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Burgess C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
44.5% | Draw
29.4% | Blackburn Rovers
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blackburn Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blackburn Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.42) |
3.2 ↓
(3.21) |
3.62 ↑
(3) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 50.6% – 85.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Swansea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4.
- Swansea has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Blackburn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Swansea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Samuels-Smith I.
(Groin Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H.
(Calf Injury)
Gudjohnsen A.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Leg Injury)
Litherland M.
(Injury)
Morishita R.
(Injury)
Tavares S.
(Inactive)
Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Blackburn Rovers?
Swansea City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Swansea City?
Blackburn Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
30.09.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
1:2
22.02.2025
Swansea City
-
Blackburn Rovers
3:0
19.10.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
1:0
02.03.2024
Swansea City
-
Blackburn Rovers
2:1
28.10.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
0:1
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
