Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 8
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (314/424) | 78% (332/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (314/424) | 78% (332/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 36% (25/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (80/135) | 68% (72/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Cantwell T. ⚽,
- 36', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Franco G. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Morishita R. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
- 56', Manuel Hedilazio B. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 56', Inoussa Z. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
- 62', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 63', Galbraith E. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Cullen L. ⚽, Idah A. (A),
- 71', Hedges R. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
- 72', Tymon J. 🟨,
- 75', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 79', Tronstad S. 🟨,
- 84', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 87', Cantwell T. 🟨,
- 88', Ismael V. 🟨,
- 89', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Blackburn Rovers
35.8% | Draw
29.6% | Swansea City
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3%)
Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.5) |
3.22 ↓
(3.25) |
2.77 ↓
(2.8) |
4.8%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Swansea will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 33.7% – 75.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M.
(Inactive)
Forshaw A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Garrett J.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Swansea: Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Swansea City?
Blackburn Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Blackburn Rovers?
Swansea City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City were as follows:
22.02.2025
Swansea City
-
Blackburn Rovers
3:0
19.10.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
1:0
02.03.2024
Swansea City
-
Blackburn Rovers
2:1
28.10.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
0:1
18.02.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Swansea City
1:0
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
