Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ewood Park (Blackburn).

Championship - Round 8
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.46
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
74% (314/424)	78% (332/423)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.49	0.62
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	1
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
29	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
13	15
Passes
74% (314/424)	78% (332/423)
Long passes
42% (29/69)	36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
59% (80/135)	68% (72/106)
Crosses
25% (8/32)	44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.43
Throw-ins
32	18
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
71% (10/14)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
51	42
Clearances
9	41
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.62	0.49
Goals prevented
-1.38	-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Cantwell T. ⚽,
36', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Franco G. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Morishita R. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
56', Manuel Hedilazio B. ↓, Ronald ↑,
56', Inoussa Z. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
62', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
63', Galbraith E. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Cullen L. ⚽, Idah A. (A),
71', Hedges R. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
72', Tymon J. 🟨,
75', Burgess C. 🟨,
79', Tronstad S. 🟨,
84', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
87', Cantwell T. 🟨,
88', Ismael V. 🟨,
89', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Blackburn Rovers
35.8%

Draw
29.6%

Swansea City
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	4.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Swansea will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 33.7% – 75.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Inactive) Forshaw A. (Hamstring Injury) Garrett J. (Surgery)
There will not play in Swansea: Santos R. (Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Swansea City?

Blackburn Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Blackburn Rovers?

Swansea City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City were as follows:

22.02.2025 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:0

19.10.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City 1:0

02.03.2024 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 2:1

28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City 0:1

18.02.2023 Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City 1:0

Latest results of Blackburn Rovers

27.09.2025 Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Ipswich Town Abandoned ✺

13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Norwich City 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Hull City - Blackburn Rovers 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

27.09.2025 Swansea City - Millwall 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Swansea City - Nottingham Forest 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Swansea City 0:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	11	7	4	0	31:8	23	25
2	Middlesbrough	11	7	3	1	15:7	8	24
3	Millwall	11	6	2	3	13:13	0	20
4	Bristol City	11	5	4	2	19:11	8	19
5	Charlton	11	5	3	3	13:9	4	18
6	Stoke	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
7	Hull	11	5	3	3	19:19	0	18
8	QPR	11	5	3	3	15:16	-1	18
9	Leicester	11	4	5	2	15:11	4	17
10	West Brom	11	5	2	4	12:13	-1	17
11	Preston	11	4	4	3	12:10	2	16
12	Watford	11	4	3	4	13:13	0	15
13	Birmingham	11	4	3	4	11:14	-3	15
14	Ipswich	10	3	4	3	16:13	3	13
15	Wrexham	11	3	4	4	15:16	-1	13
16	Swansea	11	3	4	4	10:11	-1	13
17	Portsmouth	11	3	4	4	10:12	-2	13
18	Southampton	11	2	6	3	12:15	-3	12
19	Derby	11	2	5	4	12:16	-4	11
20	Oxford Utd	11	2	3	6	11:14	-3	9
21	Sheffield Utd	11	3	0	8	7:17	-10	9
22	Norwich	11	2	2	7	11:16	-5	8
23	Blackburn	10	2	1	7	8:16	-8	7
24	Sheffield Wed	11	1	3	7	9:23	-14	6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One