Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 84% (345/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 84% (345/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.08 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, James J. ⚽, Winks H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 65', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 65', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
- 65', Cullen L. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Idah A. (Pen),
- 71', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 76', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 2, Fatawu I. ⚽, James J. (A),
- 82', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 83', Ronald ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
- 83', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Vestergaard J. ⚽,
- 86', James J. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
- 86', Monga J. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
- 90', Fatawu I. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pereira R. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
37.1% | Draw
28.2% | Leicester City
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Swansea City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(2.7) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
2.74 ↑
(2.35) |
5.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Leicester (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Leicester (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Leicester (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Swansea (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Leicester (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Leicester City?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Swansea City?
Leicester City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Leicester City were as follows:
30.01.2024
Leicester City
-
Swansea City
3:1
21.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Leicester City
1:3
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
