Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 84% (345/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (434/501) | 84% (345/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/113) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.08 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, James J. ⚽, Winks H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 65', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 65', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
- 65', Cullen L. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Idah A. (Pen),
- 71', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 76', Thomas L. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 2, Fatawu I. ⚽, James J. (A),
- 82', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 83', Ronald ↓, Manuel Hedilazio B. ↑,
- 83', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Vestergaard J. ⚽,
- 86', James J. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
- 86', Monga J. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
- 90', Fatawu I. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
- 90+1', Pereira R. ↓, Okoli C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
37.1% | Draw
28.2% | Leicester City
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Swansea City - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(2.7) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
2.74 ↑
(2.35) |
5.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Leicester will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Leicester (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Leicester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Leicester City?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Swansea City?
Leicester City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Leicester City were as follows:
30.01.2024
Leicester City
-
Swansea City
3:1
21.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Leicester City
1:3
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
